Mark_p

The fells look good hoping to get out tomorrow for some photos, today very much an indoor day hah.

Going up to see friends who live in the Lake District for a few days. I'm looking forward to seeing the fells snowcapped.

The amber warning in North Wales is until 15:00 it's embarrassing for the Met and Flintshire council for sure. For our region I suppose it depends on how the rest of the day pan our re: potential disruption over high routes to see if Amber was justified. I always try to give them (Met Office) the benefit of the doubt because we all know how difficult snow forecasting is in the UK but they have had a shocker this winter with just not responding to the reality unfolding in front of them. I'm thinking of the December South Lakes snow event (lack up upgrading warning till far too late) and today.

It's a shame how close this was to being good.

Some big snowflakes are making it to the surface here now which is pretty nice to see in daylight I suppose.

It's turned a bit sleety in heavier precipitation so that's a positive sign for those with elevation. I guess it shows some evaporative cooling is taking place. I don't think it will be enough down here though.

Not even marginal here just rain. DPs too high. Met Office automated apps do go for it turning wintry. Just raining in places like Bala in Gwynedd that are under an amber warning so it's a failure for them at this stage.

We all need to manifest GFS.

There will still be a nowcast element to this. The radar will tell us more when we see how substantial the precipitation is and how fast it’s moving north. I admit I am hopecasting

Day 10 I hope you’re right, it would be nice to see some snow from a frontal feature.

Automated forecasts for here and work are going for temps between 1-2 degrees and 6+ hours of sleet can it correct south now please

Let’s see what the met office go for this morning. I’d love to be a fly on the wall in their meetings. I’m still going for a grim cold rain/sleet day here. Car frosty this morning for the first time in a while.

The met office warning update tomorrow will be interesting it's all very knife-edge stuff as the deep dive video posted above implies. My thoughts are for disruption over the higher routes Pennine routes could be quite an event with elevation. I think they will keep the yellow warning for low-elevation land to cover their bases but will it be needed? A lot of this setup says cold rain to me or a mix of that and sleet/snow in heavier pulses imby. I'd be delighted to be wrong of course. I love battleground snow even though they are so rare now but there are winners and losers in such setups. As a caveat I cannot remember the last time I saw sustained midday frontal in this part of the world. In most winters daylight snow at all is rare.

That's not an xc weather observation you'll see very often. It's not too bad here - certainly windy but not the same reports as other parts of the country yet (and hopefully not.) Edit: I posted this then house has started ratting in a bit gust.

Isha is certainly a powerful low-pressure system. I can't remember a time seeing such a widespread amber warning from the Met Office (I see they've split it into 2 but still all amber.) Met Éireann has gone for 'status red' on the northwest coast of the republic.