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MattStoke

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MattStoke last won the day on October 26 2023

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    Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.

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  1. Metwatch Peak the hot airmass over France also occurred overnight. Model runs that had that different timing with the airmass showed 43°C was possible.
  2. I don’t understand how people can say 43°C is currently impossible. Slightly different timing on the 18th-19th July 2022 spell would have seen 43°C hit. The peak of the hot air occurred overnight instead of early to mid afternoon. 850hpa temperatures in that overnight period were a good few degrees higher than those that brought the 40°C temperatures.
  3. At a complete guess, maybe around 37'C. A few degrees lower than the 40.3'C which occurred mid summer.
  4. Scorcher The past few years, the heat has definitely started to be more widespread having previously been more focused towards the south and east. Hence Northern Ireland broke it's temperature record in 2021 when the rest of the UK didn't see their records broken.
  5. kold weather Worth noting, a 1.2'C rise in average global temperatures (Actually about 2'C for the UK and mainland Europe) doesn't mean locally extreme hot spells are automatically 1.2'C higher than they would have been. The effect on extremes is greater than that. Climate change also makes such events occur more likely to occur more frequently. It alters the actual weather synoptics, pressure patterns etc. Not just absolute temperature.
  6. I think it's possible. There were model runs in the lead up to the 40'C spell that showed 43-44'C quite widely because they had the peak of the hot airmass over the UK during the afternoon. In the end, the peak of that hot airmass actually occurred on the Monday night.
  7. Scorcher Yep. 30'C is almost common most summers now in the South East (Although there weren't a lot of such days last summer but still some).
  8. IanR Funniest thing I've read on here. What nonsense.
  9. BlueSkies_do_I_see Highest temperature and date of highest temperature.
  10. Hopefully one day we'll also have quantum computers producing forecasts in real time.
  11. A difficult choice as I love all 3, but snow is by far my favourite followed by thunderstorms (Plus we could still have thunderstorms with record breaking heat as the poll doesn't mention high temperatures in isolation ).
  12. nobble It was rubbish. 10 minutes of very wet snow and then back to rain.
  13. Fairly heavy very wet snow now. Small slushy deposits on my wheelie bins. Not exactly Narnia.
  14. Definite snow flakes appearing as the heavier precipitation arrives. That makes it the 8th day of falling snow this cold season. A long way below average.
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