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Anon90

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Everything posted by Anon90

  1. Anon90
    This would be taboo to say in the main MOD thread but lets be honest here once the dust finally settles on this latest model drama I think we all really know where things are headed....
  2. Anon90
    Looks like a more typical winter type pattern setting in later on this run and you certainly wouldn't bet against it being bang on money.
  3. Anon90
    The ECM 00z didn't look that great to me this morning so not surprised about the latest update, what we really need to see is a trend towards what the GFS 12z was showing yesterday (very wishful thinking I know)
  4. Anon90
    'Colder weather ' as in colder than the upcoming days and my thoughts areprimarily based on what the morning output is showing, that said due to all of the uncertainty over the arctic high you can't completely rule anything out.
  5. Anon90
    There still a chance of colder weather next week but based on current available data it looks to be just a blip (at most)
  6. Anon90
    Just when you're finally about to give up the chase the model's do something to pull you back in, hopefully the ECM doesn't play pooper again later.
  7. Anon90
    I just had go and open my big mouth to my parents about things turning colder and now it looks like the trend is mild again. God damn it!
  8. Anon90
    What further reinforces my point is this chart: tbh I expected a stronger consensus on a stronger PV by this point but as of now that certainly isn't the case which means we're still very much in the game.
  9. Anon90
    Things don't quite go to plan on this run but the state of the northern hemisphere makes me keen to keep on watching.
  10. Anon90
    So is that it then? Drip, drip, drip here.
  11. Anon90
    Looks like the weather predictions weren't far off after all, it been cold and dry for the most part in this Runcorn old town micro climate.
  12. Anon90
    At this moment it looks like a breakdown to milder conditions is an inevitable, we can only hope that this a case of 'waxing and waning' as some have suggested and not a permanent return to the usual heights to our south/lows to our north setup.
  13. Anon90
    Not even that here in this Old town micro climate lol
  14. Anon90
    I hope against hope that you're right, that was one of the biggest falls of snow I've ever seen if not the biggest.
  15. Anon90
    So in terms of Snow falling in the Merseyside/Halton/Cheshire area which time period looks most likely?, still tomorrow night?
  16. Anon90
    This run remains cold for the most part, longer term not so good if look at it from the Northern hemispheric view. Vortex looks to be getting it's act together......
  17. Anon90
    Indeed, fully expecting it to pull another Scrooge like yesterday but wouldn't be more happy if proven wrong.
  18. Anon90
    I'm taking the the 'expect the worst and you won't be disappointed' approach at the moment as that means either way I won't be too disheartened.
  19. Anon90
    We've seen this many times before, a brief reprieve from the models only for them to firm up on the worst possible outcome on the next set of runs, hopefully that doesn't turn out to be the case but me gut tells me it will be.
  20. Anon90
    The ECM was one of the first models to pick up on this possibility days ago, kudos to it yet again if proven right.
  21. Anon90
    As soon as a model shows a possible renewal of cold after backtracking earlier on (the like many of the runs prior to this) you can guarantee that the reality is a swift return to a mild atlantic driven pattern, that's just how things happen to be in our neck of the woods.
  22. Anon90
    Regardless of the longevity of this potential cold spell/snap, all I want to see is actual snow falling in December which doesn't happen often in this neck of the woods.
  23. Anon90
    I know we always say this but the next set of 00z runs will give us a big indicator as to whether this will turn out to be a cold snap or an actual proper cold spell for once (please lord!)
  24. Anon90
    We've seen this time and time again, there's always a fly in the ointment that seems to scupper things but this just makes me all the more keen to see what the next set of runs will bring for better or worse!
  25. Anon90
    Things can and will change but when most indicators seem to point towards an eventual SW/NE firing jet I can't help but get that sinking feeling....
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