Barmada_Casten

Any snow here in the NW will fall chiefly to higher ground in the usual spots. There could be the odd sleety or wet snow shower in the larger conurbations at lower levels but nothing significant to write home about. Going forward we will be entering a period of colder weather however in the short-term the prospects of any serious winter weather looming are sadly a long way off.

I agree but that’s hardly much to beat is it!!! Standard UK winter here - the odd cold snap with snowfalls in some places but nothing long lasting, major or significant. I am now awaiting the children to reply with their laughing emojis etc. At least when I first joined the community over 17 years ago people were far more mature.

No we are not due a particularly cold winter with any significant major snowfalls. The ramping and hyping this winter had been obscene. Don’t fall for it.

Absolutely not surprised here at all. We may have a bit of coldish weather with some snowfalls but nothing significant or major which had been drummed up in here. After this brief cold snap and am fully expecting a return to Atlantic dominated weather as per normal here in the UK as the models are hinting at.

The ramping on the model thread is obscene for what is essentially a bit of a cold spell, with nothing significant. Once again, any decent snowfall will be in the east, Kent etc the usual places. We as usual here will get the rough end of the deal and get nothing. I am bored of it to be honest - 30 years of this a absolute crap. In the 2019 south west snowstorm I was in a small in North Devon that received snowfall where everywhere around us got record breaking amounts. Last year I went to the Baltic’s in January as I was craving coke and snow and they head there earnest winter for decades. When the snow hits the rest of the country it will be a total media blackout for me that’s for certain. Anyway the punchline is the north west ain’t getting anything firing this so do t get your hopes up!

You clearly missed the point (again). ?? #sigh #totallydoesntgetit #hewillneverchange #17yearsofthis #groundhogday #givemestregnth #anyonefancyadrink?

I totally agree but I have always thought this thread should be for serious discussion and not for fantasising and romantacising about another winter 47/63. And I don’t mean to cause any offence to you or anyone else by saying that. However It has become a tiring never ending rollercoaster of ramping and emotions and it becomes really tedious with all the ups and downs. For a me a touch of realism would not go amidst. I often wonder what the average age of posters are and maybe I am in the wrong place - I am a member from a bygone era in the mid ‘noughties’ with the likes of Stephen Prudnece and TWS (Thunder Wintery Showers). We have all grown up now and as far as I am aware they no longer post and use the forum, maybe I should do the same. Barmada Casten.

Guys, an experienced head here. I have been on this forum since 2003 and see this every single year. It is so bad I barely post anymore but I can’t bare it so I have logged in. Last nights posts were an outright embarrassment from some of you, completely over-hyping a slight chance of abit of cold weather that was nothing out of the ordinary. The models are not hinting at anything particularly significant and please bear in mind that when they do they 905% of the time usually downgrade massively. Experience plays a huge part in model watching, as an experienced member of the forum with a degree in Science and weather I am urging everyone to show some level-headidness. This winter is already shaping up to be a standard modern UK winter: ie/ mild, wet with the occasional snowfalls chiefly linked to high ground in north England and Scotland. Thank you, Barmada Casten.

LOCATION: Ambleside, Lake District. This has been one of the most longest intense thunderstorms I have experienced in a long time, certainly rivalling those on continental Europe. Began with flashes of lightning from around 21:00 - 22:00 until the thunder and rain set in around 22:30. Loud bangs and rumbles with repetitive lightning and bouts of rain/heavy rain. Still going on now and looking at the radar will continue for a good few hours yet.

Morecambe is a truly dire place if your looking for significant snowfall, a once in a 20 -25 year event perhaps? I would not say I am as much happy but pleasantly surprised. This is far from a significant fall, and overall it has been a poor winter, aloof better than 16/17 that's for sure!

Can never really get excited about an easterly. Generally useless for our region unless they are extremely potent.

20% chance of getting into the very south of the region (Cheshire). 10% chance of getting into the centre of region (Lancashire, Gtr Man). 1% chance of getting into the north of the region (Cumbria and above). And if it did it would fizzle out as light snow.

Got a surprise couple of cm's overnight which was a bonus for me in all honesty as it certainly was not forecasted or expected. Those are the ones you cherish the most.

Thursdays snowfall is a non event for the majority in the region, the midlands/south will get an absolute pummelling. Will be avoiding the news that day that's for sure!

Superb mate! Parts in around Manchester seem to have done really well for once. Enjoy it - much deserved!

GFS mostly and past experiences in addition to weather trends and patterns. Why?

Yes mate, and in fairness GFS has been pretty much spot on recently.

Surprise fall overnight, a shower which lasted albeit 30 mins has given a 2cm covering. Although its far from anything significant it is a pleasant surprise nevertheless. Looks like I got this one wrong, but I am fairly certain that this will be all we will see in this location in terms of snowfall for the rest of the winter, with themps set to gradually rise and a return to westerly zonality heading into February.

Apologies but ramping in its most extreme sense here... For instance there is no way parts of coastal and lowland Lakeland will have a couple of cm's of snow!

Cold and dry in Cumbria tonight. Any 'action' will be well south of us.

Sea level. No indication of anything coming our way this evening, or indeed, in the near future.

Cloud and dry here after a period of rain that was not worthy enough to be called sleet. Disappointed as always but pretty chuffed I got this forecast nailed IMBY.

Some on the fells yes, cant see anything of significance comeing this evening.

Rain

Sadly I am only expecting a meagre dusting from Tuesdays said 'event' and Thursdays low will definitely not reach this far, and if it does will not provide anything significant. It is quite tragic that I haven't seen significant snowfall for 6 years now a lot of that owing to bad circumstances and being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Another poor and cruel winter for me. I don't think I can handle another winter of watching everyone else get significant falls of snow while I get nothing, it is far to painful. Can't see myself logging in or posting much from now on so in the words of Dragons Den - "I'm out."