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Everything posted by Barmada_Casten

  1. LOCATION: Ambleside, Lake District. This has been one of the most longest intense thunderstorms I have experienced in a long time, certainly rivalling those on continental Europe. Began with flashes of lightning from around 21:00 - 22:00 until the thunder and rain set in around 22:30. Loud bangs and rumbles with repetitive lightning and bouts of rain/heavy rain. Still going on now and looking at the radar will continue for a good few hours yet.
  2. Morecambe is a truly dire place if your looking for significant snowfall, a once in a 20 -25 year event perhaps? I would not say I am as much happy but pleasantly surprised. This is far from a significant fall, and overall it has been a poor winter, aloof better than 16/17 that's for sure!
  3. Can never really get excited about an easterly. Generally useless for our region unless they are extremely potent.
  4. 20% chance of getting into the very south of the region (Cheshire). 10% chance of getting into the centre of region (Lancashire, Gtr Man). 1% chance of getting into the north of the region (Cumbria and above). And if it did it would fizzle out as light snow.
  5. Got a surprise couple of cm's overnight which was a bonus for me in all honesty as it certainly was not forecasted or expected. Those are the ones you cherish the most.
  6. Thursdays snowfall is a non event for the majority in the region, the midlands/south will get an absolute pummelling. Will be avoiding the news that day that's for sure! ?
  7. Superb mate! Parts in around Manchester seem to have done really well for once. Enjoy it - much deserved!
  8. GFS mostly and past experiences in addition to weather trends and patterns. Why?
  9. Yes mate, and in fairness GFS has been pretty much spot on recently.
  10. Surprise fall overnight, a shower which lasted albeit 30 mins has given a 2cm covering. Although its far from anything significant it is a pleasant surprise nevertheless. Looks like I got this one wrong, but I am fairly certain that this will be all we will see in this location in terms of snowfall for the rest of the winter, with themps set to gradually rise and a return to westerly zonality heading into February.
  11. Apologies but ramping in its most extreme sense here... For instance there is no way parts of coastal and lowland Lakeland will have a couple of cm's of snow!
  12. Cold and dry in Cumbria tonight. Any 'action' will be well south of us.
  13. Sea level. No indication of anything coming our way this evening, or indeed, in the near future.
  14. Cloud and dry here after a period of rain that was not worthy enough to be called sleet. Disappointed as always but pretty chuffed I got this forecast nailed IMBY.
  15. Some on the fells yes, cant see anything of significance comeing this evening.
  16. Sadly I am only expecting a meagre dusting from Tuesdays said 'event' and Thursdays low will definitely not reach this far, and if it does will not provide anything significant. It is quite tragic that I haven't seen significant snowfall for 6 years now a lot of that owing to bad circumstances and being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Another poor and cruel winter for me. I don't think I can handle another winter of watching everyone else get significant falls of snow while I get nothing, it is far to painful. Can't see myself logging in or posting much from now on so in the wo
  17. OK I'm at a loss here. what are snow prospects for my part of the region? I am fearing my prediction may be right, set to miss out on significant snow again! That would be 6 years!
  18. Going against the popular opinion and giving my opinion that a forecasted snow event is slipping away and will probably not amount to much is not causing friction. I wont be victimised for giving my opinion in real life or online! And I will stand by my original opinion that Tuesdays forecasted snow will not be significant as originally thought for many in our region. *Think I might take a break brake and poop back later*
  19. Fingers crossed mate, I always appreciate your posts - you are very level-headed and humble which is certainly needed during these fricticous times.
  20. Significant snow was forecasted for Tuesday but it looks like the potential for anything significant is starting to fade. I am on about Tuesdays forecasted snow. Sorry am I missing something or is that hard to understand?
  21. It is looking like the prospects for Tuesdays 'event' are starting to fade. I would put this winter on a par with 16/17 - marginally better in the fact I have had about 12 hours of a minimal snow cover. Winter 16/17 brought none.
  22. Posted originally as Barmada Casten - rubbed a few people up the wrong way and forgot my log in details. Posted as Hot Snow and lost those details as well. Always lurked and then re-registered as Barmada_Casten a few years ago. I think Tuesdays system will slide south of the region, we may get the trail ands of some weak showers but nothing significant for the majority. And no problem we have some good discussions but not personal or heated.
  23. I have been a member on NW since 2003 in the good old days hen the likes of Stephen Prudence and TWS (Thundery Wintry Showers) were regulars. I post on here to keep everyone in check and to provide some balance when people get carried away with snow potential for our region. Once again it may be possible that I have got this one right. Er is that OK?
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