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OfficialKevWX

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Everything posted by OfficialKevWX

  1. OfficialKevWX
    Very useful resource ?
  2. OfficialKevWX
    I’d say S London has a better chance than here near Heathrow! Good luck on getting snow tho
  3. OfficialKevWX
    It’s not a mean btw, it’s the control run
  4. OfficialKevWX
    That was for later in the week anyways..
  5. OfficialKevWX
    Get the cold in first then worry about PPN! I’d happily take an easterly even if it short lived wk1 Feb
  6. OfficialKevWX
    Gone is a strong word, there is huge uncertainty after Day 6, so I wouldn’t discount more flipping within OP runs
  7. OfficialKevWX
    A few snowflakes falling here!
  8. OfficialKevWX
    Arpege decent again for parts of this region..
  9. OfficialKevWX
    Snow being reported in parts of Midlands and North Home Counties, might start changing over under any heavy precip here
  10. OfficialKevWX
    Cant discount it though. Also last time I checked, Arpege was the higher resolution model out of the two and performed better in most recent snow events...
  11. OfficialKevWX
    Id think in this set up you would see falling snow that would struggle to accumulate but yes there is a chance this system moves more south and allows you to get into the zone of settling snow
  12. OfficialKevWX
    Last snow event of January possible on Sunday, arpege gives more snow to us before mild air returns
  13. OfficialKevWX
    We were never predicted a severe cold spell? Only those who looked on model runs at 240hr + would think that
  14. OfficialKevWX
    This thread is just as downbeat as the MOD thread... can’t write off January if models don’t know what’s happening T+96!! Certainly exciting times ahead with a reload of cold air possible if this cold spell dies out. In the more reliable time frame, wintry showers could spread well inland on Tues/Wed and there is a possible chance that the runner could be similar if not further south/north than Dec 10ths’ one which did deliver to many parts of Southern England. Don’t give up hope yet, winter still has until March, and even in spring we can get snow..
  15. OfficialKevWX
    I’d expect a reload of cold probably around the 23rd if the Atlantic wins out on this one
  16. OfficialKevWX
    The mod thread is Full of IMBYism they should keep that to the regionals!
  17. OfficialKevWX
    Unless you live in Central / North Scotland, I wouldn’t be hoping for a more N track, the more N and deep the LP is the more milder air it brings with it, so therefore less of a snow event. The further south and more shallower it is the more of a snow event it would be
  18. OfficialKevWX
    Hoping further outputs change the track further south and more shallow, wouldn’t enjoy this at all IMBY
  19. OfficialKevWX
    I’d expect a mix between GFS and UKMO outputs wrt the runner on Thursday
  20. OfficialKevWX
    Southwards corrections soon on that 06z low ?
  21. OfficialKevWX
  22. OfficialKevWX
    Much better ECM today compared to yesterday evenings run.
  23. OfficialKevWX
    I think it’s best you two (Steve and Crewe) agree to disagree on this case, and leave it to PMs not on this discussion thread..
  24. OfficialKevWX
    Isn’t that the 12z?
  25. OfficialKevWX
    Thank you for noticing this, lots of IMBYism to whatever delivers snow to their neck of the woods, not very helpful for newcomers to understand what is happening... The models aren’t doing too well either which kinda causes this issue..
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