Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Matty88

Members
  • Posts

    399
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Ely, Cambridgeshire

Recent Profile Visitors

1,731 profile views

Matty88's Achievements

Aficionado

Aficionado (7/14)

  • Dedicated
  • Week One Done
  • One Month Later
  • Five years in
  • One Year In

Recent Badges

465

Reputation

  1. knocker well he has a point - who wants a cold spring?!
  2. Let's face it the persistant Iberian Heights have been the primary winter killer for most in Southern Britain - is this a by-product of El Nino? You suspect so.... If it wasn't for the Iberian High the cold could have dived much further South....
  3. Oh dear it seems we are on the cusp of ringing the death knell on yet another snowless winter for most of us in EA/SE Roll on the new thunderstorm season!!! On the plus side it's going to feel very spring like over the coming days....
  4. On a serious note, ‘IF’ the latest charts are correct in saying the prospects of the upcoming Scandi high have failed then I honestly feel, other than a possibility of a mediocre cold snap or 2, snow prospects will be very low and a strong chance of many in Southern England not registering a single flake through winter 2023-2024..
  5. Cue those in the mod thread shouting ‘yes the runs aren’t good now but just wait until the SSW downwelling starts to take effect’…. 1 week passes, 2 week pass, 1 month passes - oooo yes we have an easterly! Oh wait - damn it’s too warm for snow now…. Cold rain for the east! gotta love it!
  6. Summer Sun I wonder how the amber warning is playing out
  7. I've seen quite a few (even senior) posters start getting excited about a 'real deal' SSW on the cards- however its getting to the time of year the vortex tends to start weakening anyway with spring on the horizon and a gradual surface warming. So it gets to the point that an SSW is no longer a headline/excitable feature surely? Anyway leading on - short term prospects beyond this week look quite bleak but I still think we will feel the effects of a West progressing European High set-up (potentially) into next week. I suspect it won't be as mobile as the GFS is taking it and things will settle down! It looks more likely we will draw a S/E'ly rather than N/El'y which would feel pretty damn cold but nothing too notable, frosts/fog etc..
  8. Methuselah a good lesson to be learnt for others not to take what the met say as gospel - they too are not immune to lagging behind on pattern changes/shifts !! They've had more than a few humdingers this winter already
  9. I'm with others on this I can't believe how unlucky EA/The South has been this winter in terms of snow prospects - we have yet to register a single flake here in Cambridgeshire. Thursday looks to be another frustratingly close miss with a transient wet snow/sleet event in the west of the region at best. Longer term prospects have turned rubbish for now too. Poor show
  10. It looks very close to being yet another highly frustrating miss for EA/South for those that have yet to see a flake of snow so far this winter!!!!! Arghhhh!!!!!!!!
  11. Alderc 2.0 the metoffice forecasts are nearly always gloomy - this never usually transpires. Its been like that for years, its a bit odd as you'd have thought they'd find a way to address this
  12. @throwoff Yes - early-mid Feb looks of interest, the jet showing signs of diving South. This is still a good time of year for cold. Models slowly edging closer to a colder solution. Lets hope this time people don't mistake cold solutions for snowy solutions!! There is a big difference. A straight Northerly/North Westerly would be bad news for us in EA/SE.
  13. Also... the met are very keen to name storms these days for one main reason.... it helps them bash the global warming/climate change drum ITV news last night for example .... asked 'are we seeing more storms?!' ... only for some bod from the meto to pipe up with a classic line 'a warming world means more moisture and more storms' - cringe
  14. 100% - this is spot on and there is something to getting early warmth in too early. The years this has happened we have usually had to endure a cold March/April. I am sure there are probably mechanics behind this ie the cold piling up and being locked in the polar regions via the strong PV, which spills out as soon as the PV starts weakening as spring approaches. The PV always tends to break down about Feb/March time (this is no surprise/big deal) - when it does we tend to be more prone to Northerly/Easterly insertions. One potential reason to be positive however is that this warm phase is occuring now - Mid-End January, if the PV weakens (which it will) sooner then we can still feel winters full force in Mid-End February. On that end I highly suspect we are not all done with a decent cold snap or spell just yet...
  15. Sooo... after the dismal charts at the end of last week I thought I'd let the weekend pass and check again Monday. I've checked... it's still dismal lol All I can see is a powerhouse jet streaking across the atlantic at us whilst HP bases itself over France/Western Europe, slight improvement as it amplifies slightly North at the end of the month, then back to square one with Atlantic influence.... yay lol I have to say though, (if you want to be optimistic), the charts are not that great at long term forecasting in my opinion and this is across the board - they tend to always jump on the form horse and repeat that set-up until day 10+. The caveat in the bleakness is that a flip to something better is always possible/probable - Lets try and be positive (although it's extremely difficult at present!) .... Maybe check back again Friday and see if they've snapped out of Atlantic Jet Turbo mode!
×
×
  • Create New...