January Snowstorm

Nothing to see here??!!

Geordiesnow you have a point to a degree, but rules are rules and 80mph in exposed parts of Northwest Ireland means it gets a name! It is a proper storm over sea tonight though when it really ramps up for a while!! Also you have kids maybe out camping, mobile parks open for Easter. You get a lot of that in April which could be dangerous

Geordiesnow to be fair its hitting Western Ireland greater. It does justify being named in my view. As is always the case locations will vary on impact

Cambrian not so sure, the Atlantic looks ready and primed at 222hrs

The 06z isn’t any better.

sunnijim 90s Saturday nights out!!! Now thats what I call living!! ..... and snow watch beeb for Sunday! I'm quietly confident with ukmo, ecm and gfs all singing an Easterly tune

Lukesluckybunch Snow in April is useless really, gone in 30mins. Whereas early March under the right conditions it can last a,day or 2

Nothing unusual on timing of course. As racing fans will know, many a Cheltenham has been run off under bitterly cold conditions and even snow. For me the critical thing about snow in March is it must happen before mid month!

Lukesluckybunch yes but the building blocks across all suites are there at day 5. Some sort of Easterly is odds on I think. Whats uncertain is will be a mild Southeasterly or a bitter Northeasterly. I've a good feeling about this one, as ever time will tell

Is that another Boom from the ecm at 240hrs!!! Jokes aside it all begins in the reliable timefrane

Ecm not great in the mid term but looks like a good improvement at 192hrs But wait a while, is that the beast lurking at 216hrs!! Perfect angle for deep cold!!

Ukmo is more than cold enough to produce the goods!! Remember dews are low from the East. All at 144hrs too! Important ecm later, but as I said last night my gut instinct is this setup has potential for last minute upgrades. I personally think a cracking ecm could be on the cards.. Yes it's March and the drip drip would follow, but afterall snow is

I've a feeling this setup could upgrade yet! The ingredients are there, we just need things to align a bit better. It's not too late for disruptive snow, as was proved across Dublin yesterday

phil nw. I guess every location is different but I haven't found the Winter particularly stormy or wet. Yes we have had quite a few named storms but none have been really severe, almost all just about met criteria. Going forward the models are agreeing on mainly mild/unsettled for next 10 days. Its been a winter to forget, but hey such is life, we have no control over it.

As many will remember the gfs upgrade (which must be running over a year now) was very inaccurate compared to the previous mode. When the parallel was running against the op it was all over the place!! This 'all over the place' type run has continued ever since and this week is a further example!! Of course the other models are not covering themselves in glory either. Therefore the route forward for Thursday/Friday is very unclear and the biggest guide is the Met Office seem confident!