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Everything posted by The Weather Dragon
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It's a phrase to describe a more localised spell of zonality - with full zonal conditions never quite developing - pressure is strong over europe - maybe stronger than models can determine - we need this pattern to break and for lows to dive into europe - increasing the chances of pressure rises following on behind.
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06z GFS continues with the concept of loco-zonal with troughing unable to make inroads into europe. We are thus left in a quasi atlantic airmass. We need troughing to dive into west/west central europe and then we are very much game on. With loco-zonal please expect short term suprises. No double digits today - delays inevitable. Enjoy !
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
The Weather Dragon replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In all my 17 or so years of winter model watching this has to be up there with the most benign/boring/tedious ever - sick of it now tbh - roll on spring/summer - rant over ! -
Listen folks - the models were suggesting a return to atlantic w/sw weather early next week - with some runs having deep lows centred over the UK - it ain't gonna happen - what the chance that they haven't got a firm handle on later next week - must be a fair probability. The downside is we are eating up precious wintertime with benign weather - although on the positive side at least it's dry !