tesaro
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
tesaro replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Usual panic in here I see. Personally, I like a nice “wedgy setup rather than the usual wishbone Northerly. Jet gradually pushing south spinning up snowy surprises. What’s not to like -
Pretty much the same here in West Suffolk. Friday was wet and there been the odd light shower, but on the whole, this month has been a nice, usable Summer Month. The ground could use some sustained rain. Looking at the Models, it’s not looking like it’s getting much. Harsh for the West and North West though.
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Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
tesaro replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just goes to show what a feed of Continental Air coupled with the strong June Sunshine can do for temps. This didn’t age too well -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
tesaro replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is the curse of June 13th about to be lifted though. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
tesaro replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To be honest, I see plenty of potential towards the back end of next Week. We needs the Trough to drop sufficiently South before the Atlantic Front rolls in. It’s not the end if it drops a little to the East. A disrupting Low tugging in low Dewpoints from the Continent is often a Jackpot recipe if you are partial to a good dump of Snow. Would rather have that than a Cold Northerly with just Coastal Shower Wishbone stuff -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
tesaro replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What with the P.V on Holiday for the foreseeable and Low Pressure systems bowling along on top of the Jet, it’s only a matter of time before a convective Easterly/North Easterly sets up. Difficult to call a specific Day of course. Possibly some time towards the back end of next Week. Enjoy it, whatever it does -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
tesaro replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A precursor to a SSW possibly later into Dec. Would be typical of our luck that it takes a Month to get a proper cold flow established, only for the whole thing to be shuffled up with a QRSSW. Still, it’s nice to have a Ticket in the British Winter draw even if it does turn out to be a duffer -
Winter 2022-23 early thoughts - general chat
tesaro replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Worth remembering that what would be called an “a good effort” by the Long Rangers, could have pressure Systems several Hundred Miles out come the Spring Post-mortem. On a Global scale, I imagine they are Barking up the right Tree. Locality though, may be a totally different Kettle of Fish -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
tesaro replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
My Home Town. Fortunately, I’m 1300ft up in Exmoor this Week. Not that it’s overly cool up here Today. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
tesaro replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Woke up this Morning to welcome in this possibly historic Day and it was Raining. Don’t remember a forecast for Showers Today. It was pretty Thundery out there Last Night, but mostly dry. Interesting. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
tesaro replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I friggin hope not I was kind of hoping my 1400ft was going to spare Me from the worst of it It is hot up here Today though. Hotter than was Forcast. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
tesaro replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Storm Eunice - 18th February
tesaro replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022
tesaro replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I remember a certain, well respected Poster, say that it would be extremely unlikely there would be a below average Winter Month again. Then Dec 2010 happened! -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022
tesaro replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Azores Low. Now that would put a Cat amongst the Pigeons. Ideal if you like UK cold a Week or Two later. Not so great if you have booked a Winter Sun Holiday there -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022
tesaro replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I hope this forecast High isn’t like the one we had pre Xmas. Constant Drizzle ? It was probably the wettest High I remember? -
Early run up to Winter 2021/2022 discussion
tesaro replied to Mapantz's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If I’m honest. I would prefer a dry Winter if not overly cold. Plenty of crisp, Sunny Days would go down a treat. I fear I may be disappointed this Season. I think possibly a continuation of the general pressure patterns we have had since Spring. Lows approaching from a more Southerly direction, bumping into cold air! The North May get away with a Sunnier Winter overall. Much as it’s been all Summer really. We will see -
Early run up to Winter 2021/2022 discussion
tesaro replied to Mapantz's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looking at early signs from a Nature point of view, prepping is taking place everywhere if you know what to look for. With Gas and fuel prices about to go through the roof, Sod’s law would indicate it’s not going to be a mild one. dec/early Jan I would punt being pretty frigid overall -
Storms and Convective discussion - 25th July 2021 onwards
tesaro replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Drizzle here in West Suffolk. Temp 17.8. Humidity 87%. Feels very Muggy. Good luck all -
Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards
tesaro replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
First pic looking East towards Bury St Edmunds. The other North towards Cambridge. Temp 28.7 Humidity 55%. Wind variable. Possibilities but nothing like this time Yesterday. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards
tesaro replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Impressive Pics there Bud -
Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards
tesaro replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Thunder and lightning pretty much constant here and has been for the last couple of hours. 15 miles South of Cambridge. Intensifying as I type. You lot London and Kent have a nice little present from Suffolk on it’s way. You will thank Me -
Just measured our Snow here in West Suffolk. After 3 days of frequent Showers and a biting Frost last Night, we have the grand total of nope - still swearing A**. Going to take the Dog out in a bit and frolic in all that lovely Frost Glad most got something especially 40 Miles East of here. You need a very special set of circumstances here for a decent fall of Snow. Trouble is, nobody knows what these are! I can see one more chase this Season in 10 Days or so. Who’s in?