Matthew.
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Posts posted by Matthew.
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I just wish the high would settle over the U.K. then we would have sunny warm days and cool nights
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12 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
I started watching the models some time in 2011, and as this spring draws to a close, it goes down as the best ever season model watching bar none. It is absolutely astonishing that a transitional season can trump every single winter and summer since 2011 but it has!!
Completely agree. In 2013 Mike July was unbelievable model watching too with high pressure hitting bullseye over the U.K for weeks
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Why are peeps so excited about a slack humid cloudy north-east flow. It’s going to be dull for days on end in the east
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The location of the high for eastern areas brings very dull weather in the first chart but extremely sunny in the last chart
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25 minutes ago, matty007 said:
I was born in 92 and this has to be the best May I can ever remember. It’s been fantastic and gives me huge hopes for the upcoming Summer.
Said it before, I truly believe this will be a fantastic Summer. Everything seems to be pointing to it. The jet is way north and the warmth keeps reloading.
A very warm and settled Summer would be bliss.
Agree. Things look continental into June at least
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Much nicer today 5 miles from the North Sea coast in ENE England
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2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
my favourite summer setup is low pressure to the NW, high to the SE, with England and wales warm and sunny with 25C, and wet/windy for far W/NW, just dosen't seem to happen anymore
not these easterlies, tend to be cloudy/showery here
Yes mine too. The first two thirds of this May were good for that though
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18 minutes ago, matty007 said:
With every passing day, I'm getting more and more positive about the prospects of this upcoming Summer. I know weather can change so quickly, but I really have a feeling this summer will be a very memorable one.
All the signs are good.
Hopefully the high will stay close enough to the East. If it goes west it’s a whole different kettle of . I honestly don’t have a clue about June but the retrogressive signal is hanging around.
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2 hours ago, B87 said:
Heathrow had 310.1 hrs in May 1989. This month wont get near that but could end around 260-270.
May 1989 was the bees knees. 2018 still on course for near 300 for some. How did May 1992 do for Heathrow?q
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ECM says all’s well up to next Sunday with uppers generally between 5-10 range for England. Looks a much better outlook for Scotland this time also esp the North west where it’s been cloudy.
At +216 the low has lost the fight I think and pushed to it’s little corner
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Wowsers. The jet on the GFS
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2 minutes ago, reef said:
It has been very sunny so far here too. We're on 174 hours of sunshine so far - an average of 9.67hrs per day. If that was to continue until the end of the month we'd be on 300 hours and only 27 hours short of July 2006 - the sunniest month on record here.
As it stands, we need just another 83 hours by the end of the month to record the sunniest May ever and second sunniest month of the 21st century behind July 2006. That would be just 6.4hrs per day, so very achievable.
As for rainfall, we've only had four days with measurable rain so far and apart from on the 2nd, all of those falls have come overnight.
The persistent clear skies are very evident in the mean max / mean min temperature. Figures to the 18th against the rolling 1981-2010 average:
Mean Max: 18.1C (+3.7C)
Mean Min: 6.6C (+0.0C)A very pleasant and unusual month so far. It reminds me of a cooler version of July 2006 so it would be fitting if it were up there in sunshine totals.
Do you have local figures for May 1989. I think places down south had 300 hours
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25 minutes ago, damianslaw said:
This is it feels turning into a notably sunny May - at least here. The outlook for the foreseeable promises lots more sunshine, losing count of the number of clear evenings.
Also, we have so far been spared any significant rainy days, we had two large doses Friday 10 into the 11 and also the following night - great timing.. since its been almost dry, and there is no appreciable rain in the outlook.
Would be good to note current rainfall and sunshine stats.
May can be the sunniest month of the year, often beats July here.. and also the driest, so not unusual, but recent Mays have brought often only average sunshine and rainfall levels, sometimes more rain than normal and cloudier skies.
Might we be on course to see a dry, sunny and warm May - I think so, indeed it has shades of 1989 and 1992 about it, 1998 and 2006 brought a lengthy dry sunny warm period but couldn't sustain itself.
Love May - its the best month in my book.
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Here we go again. Just had to pinch myself to make sure I wasn’t dreaming
what a speechless run-
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I can’t remember charts like these with high pressure covering the whole Atlantic
The Jet is way north, ridiculously so if I may add. What a run!
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Ukmo looking marvellous at +96 and +120 and +144
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1 hour ago, 38.5*C said:
Lots could change but all recent GFS 18z. 00z and 06z gives June a dogs breakfast start with below average temps.
I’ve noticed this retrogressive signal as we move into June with GFS. With such a cracking May on the cards maybe June will be a corker. It sometimes happens after unusually good weather it can go the opposite
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5 minutes ago, snowray said:
Yes lets just hope that the GFS 12z is wrong.
The GFS may be struggling with the northward extent of the jet stream. We are far from a normal pattern.
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A sunshine station 30 miles(Leeming) from me. South east looks good
If the 2nd half matches the first we’ll have the sunniest month since July 2013 and very close to matching it and only 50 hours from July 2006 and that’s saying something as that’s probably the sunniest month ever recorded since records began here!
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These charts at the moment could make a grown man cry
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6 hours ago, cheese said:
Leeming is on 129 hours now, an average of over 8 a day. I suspect it would be a bit higher here (Leeming's about 40 miles north). This month is shaping up to be very nice actually.
And most importantly, it's been largely dry - the ground is basically rock solid now. We're on 16mm half way through the month. Average for May is around 42mm.
The website I’ve looked at said Leeming was on 107 hours to 6pm to the 14 th. where do you receive the 129 data from? Thanks
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I’m a tad nervous for summers prospects with the current remarkable weather and foreseeable weather too
Spring 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
The 1st-21st was unbelievable for sunshine here with over 180 hours. The 22nd-31st looks to come out poor with probably around 30 hours which overall is still a really good month and dry too. Just could have reached the elite months if we wouldn’t have pulled in proper easterlies