Some crazy scenes from the SE after torrential rain on the bbc. It's nice to see a good storm but being flooded is a completely different kettle of fish. Hopefully quite localised events.
The high pressure to the Sw has looked many times to influence the Uk only to back off nearer the time. All the way from late May the MetO were saying settled conditions would spread north in their long range forecast but something stopped it getting too far north
The Models seem to be doing well this week for next week. Much agreement in this Ridge of HP influencing Uk weather for next week. A marked difference in last weeks forecast which was clumsy and a bit of a dogs dinner imo.
The thing about June is the sun has dissapeared! If I was to put the 3 ingredients in order to make a good summer it has to be:
1.Sunshine
2.Temperature
3.Rainfall
We've had 4 cloudless ish days here but cloudy the rest out of 20. In contrast at the other end of the scale is April 2015...12 cloudless days and many partly cloudy days also. Let's hope July or August surprises us!
Just when I thought the 'dice' was perhaps beginning to fall wrong the charts above do offer a ray of hope for July in terms of a Summer ruled by High Pressure
Yes i agree 2013 was very good. A bit on the cool side in June but good sunshine amounts and very warm spells. A very consistent summer. From July this one has to be sunny
The most likely outcome but not certain just yethttp%3A%2F%2Fmodeles7.meteociel.fr%2Fmodeles%2Fgens%2Fruns%2F2016061900%2Fgens-3-1-120.png&key=9d3d0ebcc38b43ca84fdf0e90bc39c33a22dc54e4b5204ec1d1872d54ce77253
Great post Mb ECM 12z beginning to emerge up to day 5 and day 5 looks fairly warm I'm guessing with pressure 1020mb for northern England down. Ps I would post charts but my phone won't let me
Yes very cloudy indeed. Ive heard talk of all this rain and im sure we've been below average here. SS i live fairly close to yourself and seen your updates for rainfall for your area. Im guessing we must be below average rainfall for June so far? Thanks
Hi Frosty. I noticed on your post earlier the red indicated the high twenties but silver shading over southern France south. What temps does this indicate?
On the website type in any city northern England down and sunny/cloudy conditions are widespread tuesday+ They must be on a similar theme to the ECM. Temps high teens/low twenties.
The Low on the ECM gradually loses all its presence from Monday onwards. We end up in no mans land with light winds and good temps. Can't complain out to day 8
Yes this week has been awful! But that's only because Low P has sat on top of us. Next week the Low will be sat near Iceland instead and leave a pleasant westerly flow.
From sunday a pleasant change on the way as a whole. Not full HP but high enough for where we live to bring much better conditions than this week. You will notice the difference, not as humid also. Fresher and pleasantly warm bar a little rain.