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Ed Stone

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Everything posted by Ed Stone

  1. I'm not going to pay too much attention to the way the FV3 ends...I just hope it hasn't latched-on to a new trend!
  2. Oh dear, the FV3 at T+276 is, shall we say, a tad disappointing...Though it is a crap model!
  3. I think there's a disconnect between crops struggling to grow in fields and all those goods that magically come out of thin air, down at the local Tesco? But, hey, so long as we can keep washing the Saharan dust from our shiny, black 4x4s, everything'll be okay...
  4. The FV3 (great model!) ends with some scorching potential down over Spain, Portugal and France! It does, however, take an altogether more phlegmatic approach to things, when compared to its older sibling?
  5. Well, given the amount of sunshine the models are currently predicting, a/c units could run on solar power?
  6. I still maintain that there are striking echoes of the first week of June 1975. Though from a much less-cold starting point of course...?
  7. There's quite definitely some heat/sunshine on the menu, as we move into June: Even the trusty FV3 agrees. Great model!: The 00Z ensembles say:
  8. Not only is guilt-tripping frowned upon, numbers quoted in isolation seldom tell the whole story: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/12/17/cold-temperatures-kill-more-americans-than-hot-ones-cdc-data-show/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.4411caead9f9
  9. You're kidding, right? We might only get three flakes (of actual snow) during a whole winter, but the ramping starts in October and doesn't stop till May...If I had half the snow the rampers predicted, I'd still be digging myself out! In the immortal words of Dr McCoy:
  10. Every day, summer's getting closer; going faster than a rollercoaster, come what may...
  11. FV3's fine: still plenty of sunshine and feeling much more comfortable: PS: Great model!
  12. To misquote Enter The Dragon: a plume of extwaordinawy pwoportions! Hopefully the first of many potentially very-thundery, transient 'breakdowns'!
  13. Another chance for some slow-moving heavy showers...away from Scotland? Well, I very-much hope so; unless things change, we mightn't be seeing any more for a while...
  14. I'm looking forward to it, Karl, but I do have some sympathy with Markyo: very short, hot and humid plumes (such as the one that hit on 16/6/16) can cause folks to commit acts of long-lasting self-harm. Otherwise, here in June, the sea-breeze removes most of the discomfort after, say, 11 am. And mostly quite calm conditions, like those being signalled, are ideal.
  15. If a picture paints a thousand words, three pictures ought to paint a thesis...GEFS 06Z ensembles: So I'll let the data speak for themselves?
  16. Thank you, not, FV3! I blame May, for putting Chris Grayling (The Man With The Reverse Midas Touch) in charge of the weather?
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