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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. It must be my age, B...I've lost count of how many 'battleground snow events' have produced nowt more than about 20 minutes' sleet. Prepare for the worst, hope for the best???
  2. In other words - be it kosher or not - it's just, as Old Bill would have said, much ado about nothing?
  3. Indeed...Until someone lets me see the forecast, I'll be taking it with a pinch of salt...and an open mind!
  4. Aye Malcolm - there's no need for Sydney to unpack his willy warmer, just yet?
  5. Which might just tie-in with the very cold uppers, to our NW and NE, shown on the GFS 12Z?
  6. Looks as if - GFS-wise, at any rate - the overnight/early morning runs' usual eastward 'realignment' has been offset by the 12Z's customary westward 'correction'...? A very transient snow event, for some lucky eastern members? Very possibly...A reason not to concentrate on what happens immediately following Xmas? No. IMO... As JH keeps saying: comparing 00Zs/06Zs with 12Zs/18Zs is futile...
  7. I just hope that this month's (should it happen) SSW has a similar outcome to that of December 1984: a winter to remember!!
  8. Sorry Karl...the Para run off with all your presents... an MUI is a serious offence!?
  9. This might seem a dumb question, Catacol (it probably is!) but is your favourable 'vortex stretch[ing]' behind the gradual eastward migration, around the Arctic, of sub-25C uppers?
  10. If the Para is anything to go by, most of any snowfall looks like being confined to the far northeast of Scotland - all-in-all a somewhat dreich and to the week?
  11. And the GFS's grand finale: And the 00Z GFS ensemble, as I'm sure the uncertainty hasn't disappeared in only 6 hours!
  12. As usual, the GFS 06Z has the cold air largely staying to our east; which is okay, as I tend to agree with BFTP, that the really cold air will arrive from the NNW-NNE, and not directly from the Continent...?
  13. Absolutely Frosty...as long as there's enough blocking around, to stall the Atlantic systems, there'll be opportunities knocking aplenty. And I mean that most sincerely folks!
  14. Aye. It just adds more confusion to the already high level of uncertainty, resulting in even more anxiety...
  15. No-one's reached for the mighty BOM yet, so it can't be all that bad???
  16. I fear we are seeing an indefinite 'trend' in operation here, shaky?
  17. Of course it's for Aberdeen, A252...that's where the op's cold air is meant to hit first.
  18. It's almost as if the building blocks, the SSW at T+384 and the overpowering smell of freshly ground coffee, have all gone into stasis? I think my TARDIS must've got stuck!
  19. Surprise, surprise...after December 21, the GEFS op is an outlier. Who'd a thunk it!
  20. But...Isn't posting charts that'll never verify the very bread-and-butter of this thread, Blue...?
  21. 06Z GFS looking interesting @ T+348: And even more so @ T+384: So, again, the week immediately after Xmas could be exciting?
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