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crucible72

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Everything posted by crucible72

  1. Optimus Prime It's even more extreme if you look at the second half of the month: 2023 7.3 2022 7.1 2021 8.3 2020 6.6 2019 9 (highest ever recorded) Notably in 2023, 2021 and 2019 the second half of February was warmer than March. 2020 wasn't far off either. Could have happened in 2022 as well if March hadn't been so warm that year. A truly remarkable run of warm second halves of February.
  2. The question is: how many months will we have to wait before we get a CET higher than 12.7c on the 1st of the month? Could the start of January be warmer than the start of next June?
  3. No it only needs to stay above 18.6 from 21:00 this evening until 9:00 tomorrow morning, as that's the twelve hour time period during which minimum temperatures are recorded.
  4. The record for England is 18.6C so this could definitely be beaten!
  5. The Met Office have Exeter forecast to reach a UV of 9 tomorrow. I wonder whether this is the first time they have forecast 9, as it says on their UV index forecast page that the UV does not exceed 8 in the UK.
  6. Provisionally the coldest start to a month since January 1979, which had a CET of -3.8 to the 1st.
  7. In fact it was colder than all the winter months we have had so far this decade!
  8. Hadley still operational so far, 4.7 after the 1st
  9. That would be my reasoning, and also, taking the rounded value means that years prior to 1772 can be included in the record (when values accurate to more than 1 dp are not known).
  10. January just about made it, so we join the other sequence on 11 now.
  11. The page has now been updated to give the CET as 6.0 to the 7th, and 4.0 as a final figure for January
  12. Interestingly there has never been a February with a CET of 5.5 since the figures started to be rounded to the nearest 0.1 degree, but I'm going to go slightly above this and plump for 5.7
  13. So far the highest prediction is 6.2C. There have been 7 February's warmer than this since 1990.
  14. For the period 1981-2010, the CET for the first 21 days of December is 4.8 and the CET for the same period in March is 6.2, so significantly closer in value than their respective monthly averages of 4.6 and 6.6. These values get even closer if you go back through earlier years, as historically March tended towards cold starts.
  15. Good chance of all 3 summer months being above average now, would be the first time since 2003
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