PsychedelicTony
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Posts posted by PsychedelicTony
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Caergwrle - fairly heavy snow, just starting to stick
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1st signs of snow on journey - Buckley
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Well, no snow in Flint. Councils decision to close schools looks to have backfired.
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Hardly anything on the mountains. Raining at my house 175m asl.
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Had Worse ha ha no, on train!
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A Face like Thunder Not even much snow on the mountains. Will be travelling through Flintshire in half an hour.
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Flintshire have closed all schools tomorrow ahead of what now looks a patchy rain/sleet/snow affair.
It could be a snowday for the staff and kids in just a normal, but cold, wet and miserable day.
On the other hand it could be a whiteout. Doesn't look like it at the moment but in the past last minute changes have corrected back to original model predictions from a few days earlier.
Anyway we will know soon enough.
I'm travelling from Llandudno to Wrexham tomorrow morning. I'm expecting the train to be running as normal.
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1 hour ago, WYorksWeather said:
Before addressing the longer range which I will do later, worth looking at tomorrow. I've only been banging on about it for about the last 10 days now and I'm sure you're sick of hearing about it, but this will be my last look at tomorrow's potential for a daily record. Remember, the target to beat is 15.2C.
Here's the raw maxima from UKV:
GFS:
Arpege:
Arome:
ICON:
Nearly all models with the exception of the Arpege are showing raw maxima of 14C, and based on typical under-reading, I would therefore say that the prospect of a daily record break tomorrow is still uncertain even at this late stage. I'll stick my neck out and say that it will happen, but probably only by a very small margin.
Hawarden a good stab if achieved?
Historically and looking at those charts it seems in with a chance.
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"Nothing more than a gusty evening.."
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Dunno about this cold spell but the arctic air was so clear I got this picture from phone of the night sky. It will no doubt look plain black unless you enlarge it. Galaxy filaments /clusters? I don't know but someone will
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I'd say it's been significantly cold but not a particularly memorable event.
Its weird for me as I lived in Manchester for 28 years and barring 1996 / 2009/10 it was hopeless. 2013 was ok I think Stockport where I was working. But seeing the pictures from the last few years I'd say things have improved. For low lying Manchester.
My current location is over the water in North Wales, coastal location actually renowned for its mildness. But have had a few blanket whiteouts in the last 5 years. Particularly last year. Impassable roads etc.
This spell yeah cold, but nothing like you guys have had, 3 or 4 falls from isolated showers not amounting to more than a dusting.
So 3 or 4/10 for me.
As compared to say 10/10 for Manchester Jan 2010
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Heavy Nortwesterly style convection just hit, this started as graupel/hail now snow.
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Just now, Dark Horse said:
What a spell that was Jan 2010. Still remember shoveling the snow and the huge mounds next to my path, crazy. That was hard work for a stick insect like me lol.
I concur, it was fantastic, apart from it brought the guttering down and the pipes froze so no heating. Until I got some hot tea towels on the pipes.
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15 minutes ago, PsychedelicTony said:Look more like its heading my way but you can never tell.
My phone now all of a sudden agrees.
Apologies for posting in here but not much response in the Wales thread when it's North Wales related.
Plus I can see Liverpool out of my window so I'm near enough!
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Surely can't get anywhere near than Manchester -17c from 2010?
When they talk of January records being broken? Or is it date records?
It was about - 10 at 4pm that day.
Thick snow cover. Amazing. Don't think I will ever see that again on my doorstep.
Certainly not after moving to the coast!
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32 minutes ago, Backtrack said:
A band of showers has formed just over the IOM, current trajectory takes it around Merseyside through to Cheshire in the next few hours.
How far they can penetrate remains to be seen. This northerly air is REALLY dry.
Look more like its heading my way but you can never tell.
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Some action on Ynys Mon
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Close, but no cigar.
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Yeah and the green sleet is as usual falling as snow but I'm about 150m elevation. Accumulating only on cars/metallic surfaces at the moment.
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Snowing here in North Wales on the coast if that's any indication.
Temperature and Dewpoint much higher than further east too.
Tiny flakes mind. But nothetheless
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1 hour ago, snefnug said:
Can’t say so here. Dusting of snow this morning, a few teeny fairy flakes this pm. We probs too far inland. Rather briskly brisk bracing yomp with dog by Nantyr tops this lunchtime,
Snowing now here but small wet flakes, so can't see much of an accumulation if any
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Current Temp 1c Dewpoint - 2.5c
Met has us down for a few hours of sleet. At some elevation here so expecting maybe a dusting in the morning.
Anyone else from North Wales getting interested for tonight?
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For me with the PV split as shown in the GFS 18z the question is more when not if. The longer this plays out the better for everyone. North, South irrelevant to some extent.
It won't be dry for everyone.
And the longer it stays cold the more chance you have where YOU are of being exposed to a trough or feature that will deliver.
The Atlantic encroachment is only ever any good if it gets beaten back by the cold and retreats South.
The drier it looks the better it is longterm.
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6 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:
Mate bbc apps would have 5c if it was minus 5...the forecast for the week ahead is cold with snow risks..im bemused as to why so many bother looking at weather Apps. It tells you nothing of the bigger picture and was only designed for folks who are to dim or couldn't be assed to read the weather charts
The met website local temperatures are fairly accurate.
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If you had to lose one of the following weathers....
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by PsychedelicTony
I'd prefer it we had 6 months of cold, ice / snow then 6 months of hot sunshine. Every year.
And yet we get 8 months of Autumn like conditions, 2 months of spring and 2 months of summer.
Anyway - thunderstorms (which I do enjoy in summer) have to go. BBQ ruiners.