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Everything posted by PsychedelicTony
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If you had to lose one of the following weathers....
PsychedelicTony replied to Lauren's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'd prefer it we had 6 months of cold, ice / snow then 6 months of hot sunshine. Every year. And yet we get 8 months of Autumn like conditions, 2 months of spring and 2 months of summer. Anyway - thunderstorms (which I do enjoy in summer) have to go. BBQ ruiners. -
Flintshire have closed all schools tomorrow ahead of what now looks a patchy rain/sleet/snow affair. It could be a snowday for the staff and kids in just a normal, but cold, wet and miserable day. On the other hand it could be a whiteout. Doesn't look like it at the moment but in the past last minute changes have corrected back to original model predictions from a few days earlier. Anyway we will know soon enough. I'm travelling from Llandudno to Wrexham tomorrow morning. I'm expecting the train to be running as normal.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
PsychedelicTony replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hawarden a good stab if achieved? Historically and looking at those charts it seems in with a chance. -
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I'd say it's been significantly cold but not a particularly memorable event. Its weird for me as I lived in Manchester for 28 years and barring 1996 / 2009/10 it was hopeless. 2013 was ok I think Stockport where I was working. But seeing the pictures from the last few years I'd say things have improved. For low lying Manchester. My current location is over the water in North Wales, coastal location actually renowned for its mildness. But have had a few blanket whiteouts in the last 5 years. Particularly last year. Impassable roads etc. This spell yeah cold, but nothing like you guys have had, 3 or 4 falls from isolated showers not amounting to more than a dusting. So 3 or 4/10 for me. As compared to say 10/10 for Manchester Jan 2010
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For me with the PV split as shown in the GFS 18z the question is more when not if. The longer this plays out the better for everyone. North, South irrelevant to some extent. It won't be dry for everyone. And the longer it stays cold the more chance you have where YOU are of being exposed to a trough or feature that will deliver. The Atlantic encroachment is only ever any good if it gets beaten back by the cold and retreats South. The drier it looks the better it is longterm.
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Moans, ramps and banter
PsychedelicTony replied to Community Team's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The met website local temperatures are fairly accurate.