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Kieran

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Everything posted by Kieran

  1. I wonder if the Midlands could see a suprise on Thursday. Below is the BBC forecast map for Thursday, as you can see the channel low is going northwards and you'd presume as is meets the colder air around the Midlands the precipitation would turn wintry. By the next frame the precipitation is all gone so it's hard to tell but definitely something to keep a close eye on...
  2. https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2568551/britain-to-be-hit-by-eight-inches-of-snow-from-wednesday/ 8 inches?!
  3. 12z GFS showing potential for snow showers to move south-eastwards into the Midlands. If this trend continues I think many more of us could see some wintry showers on Thursday and into Friday.
  4. Snow showers drifting into the Midlands (especially the West Midlands) on Thursday evening according to the 12z GFS. Considering the winds will be strong I don't think it's out of the question to think that much of the Midlands could see some decent snow showers....
  5. Snow again shown for Thursday. I wonder if it will be as widespread as the 12z GFS is suggesting:
  6. High res still shows widespread snow for most of the Midlands and the South. We shall see...
  7. From past experience the GFS precipitation charts often overdoes the snow risk. But as it's only a few days out it makes you think many of us could get a dusting of snow on New Years Day, I'd happily take that
  8. 12z GFS showing Snow showers for most of England and Wales on New Years Day. The met office are just saying wintry showers over the hills though. Hmmmm who to believe? +84:
  9. Back edge snow for most parts (except for the far south) on New Years Day shown on the GFS. Something to keep an eye on....
  10. Very true. Or the Synoptics showing on Christmas Eve could be pushed back 12 hours or so and that would bring a white Christmas for most of the UK. Exciting times But yeah models can and probably will change, but to see widespread snow at +150 hours isn't too shabby
  11. 6 hours later... Snow for pretty much the whole of the UK (Bar the far south) BOOM!
  12. Snow for Scotland and parts of Northern England in the early hours of Christmas Day too.
  13. Indeed however there seems to be lots of energy over Greenland at +120 on the ECM which isn't there on the UKMO. Probably will spoil things in the next frame but we shall see...
  14. ECM and UKMO at 120.... ECM looks good so far. We just need to see if that atlantic low can dive south in the next frame and undercut similar to the UKMO.
  15. Up to +96 on the GFS and there seems to be a slight shift westwards of the Atlantic energy on this run. Also more of a negative tilt so this is hopefully a good sign....
  16. Haha WOOPS. Up to +114 and the secondary low seems much flatter and more willing to sink than on the earlier GFS run. Very positive run so far...
  17. Up to +90 and it seems like an undercut much more achievable on this run. 6z: 12z: Much more energy heading under the high....
  18. 12z looking like an improvement to my eyes. Better chance of WAA advection at 156 hours. Now if only that low around Greenland would just dive southwards...
  19. A comparison of the GFS and ECM at day 6: Better 18z so far.... Although not quite there, it seems like the GFS is slowly getting to the pattern the ECM is showing. Hope it continues into tomorrow!
  20. Much better heights into Scandanavia at 108 hours than on the 6z: 6z : 12z:
  21. I agree but both runs give us a good shot of cold with similar uppers. The 12z prolongs the cold for abit longer though. However both runs give us a second shot of cold so both runs are great IMO.
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