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Faronstream

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Everything posted by Faronstream

  1. Yes it's a combination of the ongoing rain since late morning and no sun at all with the -6 colder than average airmass, but it's still odd why this hasn't happened on this exact day for such a long period of time (165 years)
  2. 12,2c as maximum today here and won't rise more since the rain started, and hear this out it's the lowest max-temperarture for this date since 1987, and before that it hasn't even happened all the way back to when the records started in 1858, the lowest are all in the 14's range.
  3. Basically just average 10 days forward, despite a higher pressure than normal we still can't manage anything noteworthy, back to average is not really an improvement and we need more than that this late in the season.
  4. Yes august is a semi-autumnal month end of discussion really, even in mid may when temperatures reach 22c on some days it actually feels more summery than 25c in august, and after the 2nd wettest july on record here since the year 1900 the lakes have cooled well enough to not feel a need for a dip.
  5. Lol now even the long range models have lost the high pressure rising from the south for the 3rd and last week of august, maybe we are getting a clear improvement in september when no one really wants it, a little too late.
  6. Without the need to count the last day of july it's clear that this july will have the lowest average high temperature for my location since 1998 beating both 2007 and 2012 1965: 18,7c (must been horrific) ---------------------------------------- 1998: 20,3c 2023: 20,4c 2007:20,7c 2009:20,9c 2012:21,6c
  7. Scandinavia has warmer and sunnier summers than UK in general, also easier getting semi-permanent high pressure systems from russia both in winter and summer.
  8. 18,3c just after mid-day at the heart of summer with strong westerly breezes, i don't think even those who thought it was "too warm" back in june really wished for these kind of temperatures, all you can do is to lit a fire in order to stay warm during the evening
  9. Still looking hellish'ish for the last week of july, It's gonna be very hard to shake off those low anomalies which covers basically the whole europe+ north africa for the last week of july, i don't think we even were in this position in july 2012.
  10. A strong el nino overrides any other signal, just like last years la nina's who has given us unusually stable summers. There is still those low pressures on the atlantic in end of july/beginning of august according to the mean. 1st pic: 31th of july-7th august 2nd pic: 7th of august-14th august
  11. No change in sight for the 2nd half of the month, if anything it looks even worse compared to a few days ago with low pressure dominated westerlies strenghtened by the still warm waters of the north atlantic and high pressure stuck over greenland,all this evaporation probably leads to more rainfall long-term. First pic: 24-31th of july Second pic: 31th of july to 7th august
  12. The long range forecasts didn't expect el nino to set in before summer's over, therefore we see more unsettled weather into july aka another 2012/2007 but hopefully not as extreme.
  13. The la nina influences can't go on forever, the only reason we have had unusually great summers since 2020 is mainly because of a stubborn la nina, on average el nino summers starts out good and becomes more unsettled with time.
  14. 21,2c as maximum today with comfortable humidity levels of 35%, also the nature is really looking the best this time of the year.
  15. 2nd day in a row reaching 20c with no clouds to be seen, damn huge diurnal temperature range too
  16. It's beginning to look a lot like christma.. i mean end of march On top of that this is the latest recorded ice day for my location/city since 1996 with a max of -0,1. Just happy the global radiation levels are high enough this time of the year to melt snow on stone and pavement.
  17. The average temperature here for the last 7 days is -4,0, which is the same average as we have during the coldest part of the year aka 2nd week of january, impressive cold spell for being almost mid march.
  18. Very good upgrades from the GFS in last days, from showing 5 consecutive ice days a couple of days ago to almost 8, would beat both 2018 and 2013 if this occured.
  19. Despite uppers of -17 my location manage nothing more than daytime maxes of -5 for 6th of march, 1888 had -8 to 10 with almost same uppers (-20).
  20. Lowkey disappointed in latest GFS 0z run for the 5th-7th of march, would hope of daytime maxes of -8 to -10 instead of -3 just like in march 1888, it's still physically possible if we just get 850hpa temps below -20 instead of -15, here's how cold it were back then.
  21. Almost breezeless, not too cold and a little snow. Can't get better weather for a winter barbeque
  22. Please i thought we were done with the debunked hockey stick, its very obvious that both the medieval period and 8000 years ago were hotter than today's climate.
  23. It's perfect outside at the moment with a decent snow depth, too bad all of this will be gone in next week's mild spell.
  24. Merry christmas everyone!! Didn't wake up to snow this year but still very frosty and -10,2 as i write.
  25. It's physically impossible for the deep cold to get swept away that easily, GFS OP 00z is an extreme outlier showing 16c 850temps warmer than the average for the 20th of december.Can't deny thought that GFS is a fantastic trend setter and has always been.
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