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    Orebro, Sweden
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    Climate, swimming, clothes, soccer, junk food junkie
  • Weather Preferences
    During summer: Humid and somewhat hot sunny weather, around 26-29 degrees

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  1. ECM 12Z pretty good, just too dry so more like frosty christmas but no snow on the ground.
  2. GFS 12Z as you can see lets the atlantic in too soon and that will be an important matter if you are looking for a white/frosty christmas, can be an outliner too
  3. Another mildish run from GFS 06Z, let's just hope that it is a trend since it is too early for any cold/snow on the ground now and we want more mushrooms in the forests
  4. Faronstream

    Model output discussion 14/04/18

    It's really sick how many sunshine hours there has been last 3 weeks, a fantastic heat wave with record may. For now Both GFS/ECM shows a transition to more rainy and windy conditions when we go into the middle of june. For sure the warm conditions can't last forever
  5. I have to agree with the rest in here the charts are ******* fantastic and there is no real cold air getting even close to the most northern parts of europe
  6. The summer of 2011 were not poor at all
  7. GFS continues to be an outliner with unrealistic outputs with cold uppers down to -15, absolutely impossible and nothing to expect since ECMWF continues to show mild westerlies and no sign of " east from the beast". GEM is something in between
  8. Good to know that the GFS12z is an extreme outliner, neither ECMWF or GEM shows anything close to GFS for the moment and the AO value is not negative enough to let the really cold air flow down to middle latitudes
  9. I might be wrong but a SSW can actually change the current situation in the atmosphere and strengthen the upper winds in the polar vortex so we get mild SW winds for a long time. I think that happened winter 2011/12 Still looks pretty mild in both GFS and ECM, anyway it's getting too late for any proper cold and the sun angle is high
  10. 850hpa uppers down to almost -20 on GFS 00Z run. It is defiently the best this winter
  11. Looks extremely horrible in all weather models last days, not even a single day with -10 in 850 hpa so no proper cold is on the way. The most weird thing is that the polar vortex is not even that strong this season and still we are stuck in mild air anyway
  12. GFS 06Z looks pretty good with HP influences over scandi around christmas and towards new year, frosts and dry weather for many parts of europé expect England, we have seen far worse than this
  13. Even if we have seen worse christmas weather (2006, 2013, 2015 etc) it's still pretty clear now that it will be a mild christmas this year and snow cover below average values, GFS keeps trolling us with cold charts but ECM is most of the time the only realistic model.
  14. Still looks pretty mild when we are entering the days before christmas on GFS, seems to be a new trend