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Faronstream

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Orebro, Sweden
  • Interests
    Climate, swimming, clothes, soccer, junk food junkie
  • Weather Preferences
    During summer: Humid and somewhat hot sunny weather, around 26-29 degrees

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  1. Looks extremely horrible in all weather models last days, not even a single day with -10 in 850 hpa so no proper cold is on the way. The most weird thing is that the polar vortex is not even that strong this season and still we are stuck in mild air anyway
  2. GFS 06Z looks pretty good with HP influences over scandi around christmas and towards new year, frosts and dry weather for many parts of europé expect England, we have seen far worse than this
  3. Even if we have seen worse christmas weather (2006, 2013, 2015 etc) it's still pretty clear now that it will be a mild christmas this year and snow cover below average values, GFS keeps trolling us with cold charts but ECM is most of the time the only realistic model.
  4. Still looks pretty mild when we are entering the days before christmas on GFS, seems to be a new trend
  5. Model Output Discussions 12z 01/06/2017

    As always the high pressure finally moves up to northern europé in September instead of middle of july when we can get severe heat spells, i'm not complaining but i still don't understand why this pattern repeats itself for several years now
  6. Model Output Discussions 12z 01/06/2017

    Another downgrade on latest ECM 0Z compared to yesterday's 12Z which was way more anticyclone
  7. Model Output Discussions 12z 01/06/2017

    The ECM 12Z control run is worse than 00Z last night, the ensemble mean does normally not show if there are any significant changes in the coming runs so we have to hope that today's 12Z run is just a coincidence
  8. Model Output Discussions 12z 01/06/2017

    The azores high is stronger in the latest runs especially from ECM, right now it is the only thing that can save July from being a mediocre month
  9. Horrific and provocating charts from both GFS and ECM 0Z, winter is definently over for this season with charts like these. As long as the mid latitude blocking continues we can never get the cold and snow down to our latitudes. We have to get a extremely cold march like 2013 if you want snow cover for more than a few days
  10. I think it still looks fantastic next week for most parts of especially northern and central europé, UK not so good only chilly conditions. Right now GFS and ECM does not agree on wether the center of the high pressure over scandinavia will be, GFS is the better option beacuse on ECM it looks like it's too much to the east of Scandinavia. This might be the last chance for any longer period of cold and snow this winter, just hope charts like these continues to show coming days
  11. What? I said " the only hope i can see now" so i am very uncertain about the high pressure over north atlantic at 240hours, what i mean is that the situation feels more or less hopeless
  12. The cold winners for mid next week is clearly the central and eastern parts of europe, in scandinavia and western europé there are very lame temperatures and somewhat mild for the season . We have to wait at least 1 1/2 week before we can get any decent cold with snow, the only hope now that i can see is from the ECM in FI
  13. ECM 0Z this night continues to show the trend of a more mid latitude blocking than high latitude blocking for the mid parts of next week, if the centre of the high pressure would just move slightly up to the western parts of russia/Finland the easterlies would be stronger and much lower 850hpa, looks like we fell on the finish line again..
  14. ECM is not looking too shabby in the middle range at 168hours with -5 in 850hpa so on the slightly colder side, i won't look or think of the GFS for months beacuse of the disappointment last week. NAO value is trending positive for the coming 10 days and AO suprisingly negative
  15. Another fantastic run from the GFS ( 06Z). Right now both ECM and GFS agrees on very cold upper air from the north( especially here) for 5th to 7th January with high pressure expanding in over Scandinavia for at least some couple of days
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