rh205
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Everything posted by rh205
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It was nice to have snow down here but you've got to feel a bit sorry for the Midlands as in the days leading up to the event all the models were showing the front going up to their region. But it wasn't to be and was cruelly snatched away from them just hours beforehand. Whilst we were seeing upgrades they were seeing downgrades. Here's hoping we get another snow event before winter's out and the next one is a nationwide event. -
I just saw a flash of lightning to the north of Gosport.
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Snow settling in Gosport. According to the UKMO the secondary feature out in the channel appears to stall over the Solent area.
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So true Bazray. It's nice that the SW and CSE region got the goods instead of the other regions this time.
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I'm wondering if that gap between the main front and the secondary feature will allow enough time for temps to drop off a bit. UKMO forecast a 1C drop from 2C between 2100 and 2200 but were currently at 1C so another 1C drop would be more than welcome.
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The UKMO have us down for heavy snow at 2200 tonight in Gosport. At the moment it's small snow flakes temp 0.9C decreasing -0.4 /hr. DP -0.2C. Snow is settling on garden furniture but not on the ground. Grass Temp: 0.6C. There's an interesting feature of the north of Normandy and I am wondering if that's what the UKMO think is going to be heavy snow at 2200.
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Temp 1.4C falling at rate of -1.4C /hr DP 0.1C decreased by -0.6C in last hour. Looking at the UKMO forecast map and netweather radar the heavy ppn is due around 2000 in Gosport and Portsmouth.
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Think the UKMO got it slightly wrong. Temp now 1.9C not 4.0C. Falling by -1.7C /hr. DP 0.3C Hopefully they give us an upgrade soon. If you compare the 17:50 netweather radar to the latest image it's clear the rain isn't making in roads as much as it was at first.
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Sleet here in the south of Gosport. More snow than rain though. Snow melting on impact. Large flakes of Snow. Temp 2.4C down -0.9 on last 30mins and down -1.6c on last hour. DP 0.5C decreased by -0.7 in last hour. So we're heading in the right direction. Snow not due until later according to UKMO.
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The Met Office have Gosport down for a few hours of rain before heavy snow at 10pm. Temp currently 3.3C decreasing -1.2C/hr DP 0.9C. So hopefully the temp drops low enough before the front has passed through.
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The Temp here is currently 4.5C dereasing by -0.4C /hr DP 1.6C. Temps are what UKMO have forecasted for this time of the day. It looks like it's due to cool down once the rain arrives.
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The Met Office have Gosport down for heavy snow at 2200 and 2300 which seems to tie in with what the EURO4 model shows.
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Dew point and temps tumbling here in Gosport now.
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Temps appear to have stabilised at 5.4C here in Gosport.
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Gosport has been upgraded back to heavy snow. Come on Met Office stop teasing me. I know you said it's knife edge stuff but this feels more like cut throat razor stuff to me.
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I think for this neck of the woods it's going to come down to timing and whether we can lose enough heat quick enough once the sun sets before the front arrives.
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It's interesting that they are forecasting heavy snow for Lee-On-The-Solent beach yet Alverstoke is sleet despite the Lee location being as close to the coast as you can get. I'm beginning to wonder if this is going to be a now-casting event for our location.
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UKMO have downgraded Gosport to sleet. I hope they've got it wrong. Temps have risen to 4.8C increasing at 3.2C /hr. DP 2.2C
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UKMO website seems to be creaking under the load today.
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Just had a brief shower of ice pellets here in the south of Gosport. Sorry Mother Nature it's close but no cigar.
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Just a quick question. Do the UKMO normally update their video forecast on their website at about 0930hrs?
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Overnight low of -3.8C here in the south of Gosport. Currently 1.6C rising +1.2C /hr DP 0.4C starting to become overcast.. UKMO have updated their forecast and have us down for a couple of hours of heavy snow between 8pm and 10pm and have increased the length of the inclement weather. They were originally going for sleet today but seem to be following the BBC forecast which has been forecasting snow since yesterday.
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Gosport has been downgraded to heavy rain tomorrow evening.
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Just watched it and the whole of South Hampshire and the Isle of Wight has disappeared. That forecast has Gosport firmly under snow yet the website forecast shows sleet. I hope we get an upgrade.
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
rh205 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We already have IMBY forums. That's what the regional forums are for. But I agree.
