Ian Francis

i agree - mods *please* can we go back to having one model thread!

In fairness 38.5 degrees' seem to give a pretty fair assessment of the GFS post the weekend. My interpretation was much the same - cold, wet and windy. Let's hope the ECM is right

thety lok pretty similar to me they look pretty similar to me

what with all the ramping going on the model thread, its nice to come here and see some realism.

what is the scientific evidence for this statement?

i'm on an exposed position on Solway coast (Maryport) - windy but nothing unusual yet. Perhaps strongest winds will be further south.

Thanks for that excellent post BB1962-3

do tell

i've run that through google translate and it still isn't making sense

Isn't Newfoundland an unusual neck of the woods for a high, such as modelled in the later stages of the GFS 18z?

i nominate: '...just about nailed'.

Model stand-off is a nailbiter. 18z will be very interesting

I'm surprised nobody has commented on the high rainfall totals for the NW being modelled on the 12Z GFS. We could be seeing flood warning in force for Cumbria and SW Scotland by the end of next weekend.

I agree...sometimes tire of all the hunting for cold charts when other significant events are showing on the models. GFS 144 hr rainfall totals for NW England and Wales getting very worrying yet again, increasing as they do with every run.