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Weather Observer

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Everything posted by Weather Observer

  1. Just for the record, my reference above to the -20c upper air temp clipping the Kent coast should have read 1st February 1956, not January. Sorry if anyone was confused. I remember it well living in Hampshire at the time. A bone chilling easterly. A grey stratus sheet but no appreciable snow except on the east coast, as in 1987.
  2. The other near miss was 1st January 1956 when meteociel shows -20 clipping the Kent coast.
  3. To be fair Catacol did sign off on this winter with several posts admitting we were in the last chance saloon . We await the post mortem from the strat guys
  4. Four miles from the North Sea in NE Norfolk I recorded three consecutive ice days from 28/2 to 2/3. Lowest minimum was -6c on the 27th and lowest maximum -2.5c on the 28th. Snow was lying in the morning on 7 days. Depth approx 3” level with 2 foot drifts. Now gone. Windchill and freezing of exposed soil in fields which was blown as a brown stain onto the snow after it had eased was notable. Most interesting feature to me, who has only lived here a few years, was the influence of upper air temperatures on convective precipitation. Around here -8c with wind off the sea produces every form of iced precipitation except snow. At -12/13 each shower was preceded by a brief fall of ice pellets before it became all snow. Not before -15/16 was it all powdered snow. Frontal snow I know is possible with much lower uppers, but that has been in short supply these last few years around here. I remember Bill Giles talking often about snow showers pecking away at the east coast. I don’t think he could have lived this way!
  5. I am offering a simple and not very scientific analogy as to the conundrum faced by the models in working out where we go from here. Run a hot bath add cold water and mix. Burnt fingers, hidden hot spots just when you think it safe. How can models address that on a global scale. Give them a chance? Fiw I have a feeling that the high will migrate to Scandinavia SSW or not. ?
  6. What I find interesting about that chart is the spread at +192. The op is one of the mildest. One or two go close to minus 10. Having looked at weather charts since the 60’s, I feel this winter has a few cold surprises in the tank.?
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