Jump to content

SxK

Members
  • Content Count

    76
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

56

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Billericay, Essex
  • Interests
    Weather, Tottenham Hotspur, All Sports.. etc.

Recent Profile Visitors

3,696 profile views
  1. ECM falls into line with UKMO at 120. UKMO makes a habit of calling these situations correctly, has done for years.
  2. Sun is going down so the heat source of the convective showers is no longer there. They will all die off after sunset
  3. Complex developments around an unpredictable low pressure tonight but quite a few models (NAE, NMM) develop storms across the south coast. Other models support development of storms around the low pressure core as it moves across SE England for tomorrow mornings commute. NMM in particular suggests a storm risk across Essex.
  4. You thinking the increased amplification from the potential MJO solutions could assist us here Chio?
  5. Holyhead in Wales likely to be the sweet spot but obviously puts you right in the middle of natures fury so perhaps you should watch from behind the curtains in Derby
  6. I think it's worth emphasising that both GFS and NMM have downgraded snow risk for tonight. Euro4 awaited.
  7. One to watch. Not only for Jamaica/Cuba but also once it clears Cuba. ECM has this turning towards and smashing into the eastern seaboard as a sub 940mb LP. GFDL/GFS take it out to sea fortunately but forecasters shall be watching this very closely indeed. NHC are saying: THE INTENSITY FORECAST BECOMES MUCH MORE COMPLEX AFTER THE CYCLONE EMERGES NORTH OF CUBA. WHILE ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SHOW STRONG SHEAR OVER SANDY...THEY ALL ALSO SHOW A SIGNIFICANT FALL IN THE CENTRAL PRESSURE AND AN INCREASE IN THE SIZE OF THE WIND FIELD. THIS APPEARS TO BE DUE TO BARCLINIC ENERGY FROM INTERACTION WITH THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS...AND IT IS LIKELY THAT SANDY WILL LOSE SOME OF ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN THE PROCESS. THAT BEING SAID...NONE OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE CYCLONE ACTUALLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
×
×
  • Create New...