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Everything posted by Mildcarlisle
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Mildcarlisle replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Business as usual here in Lewis,not been any ‘heatwave’ and no talk of a ‘breakdown’ from said either however,one comforting fact is,that the weather is perfectly normal here and ‘progged’ to continue as such. -
Model Output Discussion - Early Summer and Beyond
Mildcarlisle replied to mushymanrob's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Where did Scotland go? -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree,nothing remotely zonal but same results...wet and windy,mild with colder interludes.No freeze up,no persistent or recurring cold cycles.Resetting to normal notwithstanding the SSW.I don’t like it either. -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why has the ‘members online’ facility disappeared? -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes you did Tim.9th to 11th January was the target dates.It was dropped but reappeared.Let’s see how things progress. -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not liking this at all.Ok,southern England still taking some thing from the east but further north,that’s a southerly source of air with heights moving east. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very tasty charts but I’m curious,how are they produced from so far back? Are they speculation based only? -
Model output discussion 02/02/20
Mildcarlisle replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
So in other words,what would qualify as ‘IMBY’ and ‘off topic’ comments are ok if there is a record about to fall? Trust me on this,it’s all about London and the south east. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
All the talk on the model thread is all about the south east of England’s heatwave and both Sky and BBC are hyping it up large.I’m sick of it and if conditions were reversed (Scotland only heatwave) the priority would still be the English weather,on the model thread and the media outlets.Some say that in a winter set up (where Scotland always scores better than English locations regarding snow fall,lying snow and temperature) then the model thread attention would swing to Scotland...I beg to differ as has happened in the past,” Can we please keep local weather or IMBY isms in the regional threads” -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
Mildcarlisle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Aptly put,the country of two seasons.Somehow I like that. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Scotland,the land of the 5 month winter. -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
Mildcarlisle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi Frosty, a week ago this forum was buzzing about the potential for a third beast based on the model output then.I'm disillusioned by the current outcome versus prognosis of a week ago.I'm sure the warmer outcome will be the reality this week. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I'm sure the media,especially the BBC don't realise that the actual current weather is occurring well in front of the forecasts.Helen Willits mentioned just now (16:30) that the rain will turn to snow on the mountains of Scotland and temperatures tomorrow in Scotland will only reach +4c.Helen,there is sleet falling near Galashiels (180m) right now,with a temperature of +4c.Even the iPhone app is showing this.But of course,Scotland is irrelevant! -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Mildcarlisle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Scotland is, my friend. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Wet sleety snow in Galashiels. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Mildcarlisle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anyone else share my view that since the SSW was forecast,the model thread has become the Fantasy Island thread? I understand the anticipation and excitement of the SSW and the 'potential' ramifications thereafter but almost all output being shown and discussed is all in F1.I hope we do get the protracted cold easterly and dreams sometimes come true but for now they are dreams even at a point of cross model agreement on day 10. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
Mildcarlisle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think they mean milder air winning out over their London.That aside,fantastic seeing so much overall cold in the charts,especially in the new deliverer,the Northwesterly. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
And while Carol Kirkwood manages to take 2 out of 3 minutes to describe how the temperature dropped from 10c to 8c in London,the snow is back in Leadhills. -
What Did You Think of Winter 2015/16?
Mildcarlisle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And if I may,in Scotland this winter has been slightly milder (by night) but snowfall has been a regular visitor.Even in the Scottish Borders/Cheviots there is still snow lying in drifts(as there should be at this juncture) but the Highlands are as always well endowed with snow,check the relative websites.There is a definite north/south disparity to be observed from this winter and of the last three or four.I suffer the pain of those down south;in years to come this snowless zone may well move north but for now I am happy with the winter gone,I did see snowfall and I recorded -4c in Galashiels as a low likes. -
Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
Mildcarlisle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And maybe the good old days before the internet were best...all they had then was the BBC's 'Weather for Farmers for the week ahead' on a Sunday.Only five days ahead in which model output was converted to synoptic charts.I would suggest less hearts were broken then than now likes. -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
Mildcarlisle replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And the 'Sunday snow for Scotland' possibility is now melting away south as the chart below shows the frontal boundary much further south.