reef
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Posts posted by reef
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Today didn't go to plan. The forecast said sunny before clouding over in the afternoon. Instead, it clouded over immediately at half 8 and has been grey all day since.
It's now 8.8C and raining with a 20-25mph wind.
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Don’t blame cloud seeding for the Dubai floods | Extreme weather | The Guardian
WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM
Questions have swirled online about the process being behind the historic rainfall – but experts say it’s not the real culpritThe authorities are adamant they weren't cloud seeding at the time. I would also doubt it is effective enough to cause 254mm of rain!
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I hadn't looked at the models for a couple of days and couldn't believe how poor it looked when I checked this morning. Its just constant easterlies with a trough to the south right out until May. Most days here don't get into double figures. It takes until 3rd May to hit 12C in fact. Not to mention it'll be raw, often wet and with little sunshine.
Mild, wet and dull to cold, wet and dull. Not the change I would have asked for!
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In Absence of True Seasons We're right next to that small low barrelling down the North Sea today. Right now its raining with a 30mph NNW wind and the temp is just 6.6C. It certainly feels colder than most of winter!
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This Spring is far worse than 2023 in this neck of the woods. In Spring 2023 all of the three months were generally close to average for sunshine here, but this year has been abysmal. There have been NO clear days at all and it has rained most days. Spring 2023 had 39 days with >1.0mm of rainfall, but at the half way point, 2024 is already at 32 days. There have only been 8 days in fact when rain hasn't fallen since 1st March.
It has just been relentlessly mild, wet, dull and windy. Now we've got to the middle of April it has changed to cold, wet, dull and windy.
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The median date here for the first 20C is 2nd May and the first 25C is almost exclusively June (19 times) or July/August (20 times). Only 4 years have seen 25C before 1st June.
1993 never reached 25C.
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Azazel no, it was the opposite. The days were more above average than the nights. March and April were both dry and sunny, with 8.0C and 9.2C on the CET. May was duller than average with normal rainfall but was very warm at 13.1C.
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Azazel Spring 2022 was warm, dry and sunny everywhere? One of the warmest ever in fact. This year and last year so far were poor ill grant you. 2021 was cold but sunny with close to average rainfall.
So since 2020 we've had two bad, two good and one average?
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Apart from the early-mid January blip we've had pretty much record mild weather since early December so it was always going to go below average at some point. It would however be nice if it didn't rain and was actually sunny. Both today and yesterday have had a strong wind and blustery showers.
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If that came to fruition it would mean the first 15 days of the month were almost 4C warmer than the last 15 days. That would really be quite something in April, a warming month.
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Yes, this morning was awful. Just 7.6C at midday with a gusty wind and driving rain.
It's actually clear and sunny now and the warmest it has been all day at 9.1C. The wind is still very strong though.
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Metwatch that chart shows it to be the polar opposite of this month so far. 2024 is mild, dull and wet to 2021's cold, sunny and dry.
Both highly unusual but I know which I prefer!
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54.3 hours of sunshine for the first half of April here. The 1991-2020 average for the month is 164 hours, so it has some catching up to do!
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Awful here this morning. Cloudy, raining, a persistent 20-30mph NNW wind gusting to 35-40mph and just 8.1C.
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Absolutely loved that month. Here it was the sunniest on record with 248 hours. Only 12 individual months all year round have been sunnier.
It was the frostiest by far aswell, with 14 air frosts, which is more than any January, February or March since 1996. The mean minimum temperature was just 0.5C - 4.0C below the 1991-2020 average. Six days also saw snow falling, another record.
It was our second driest April with 2.4mm of rain, just slightly more than 2007 (1.5mm), with just 5 days seeing it fall.
For us, it was actually colder than 1986 with a mean temp of 5.7C (-3.0C), so the coldest on record and colder than 6 of the last 8 Februaries.
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Where on Earth has this wind come from? We've just had a gust of 47mph which is actually the highest April gust in this neck of the woods since 2002. Its consistently 30-40mph aswell.
Apart from that its a classic sunshine and showers day, albeit a bit chilly.
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In Absence of True Seasons Still haven't hit 20C here yet and it doesn't look likely this April now. However looking through when years hit 20C first it isn't a bad thing here:
2012: 28th March
2021: 30th March
2011: 6th April
2020: 8th April
2007: 15th April1995: 3rd May
1989: 4th May
2003: 4th May
2006: 4th May
2022: 14th May
I think I'd rather it was in the second group!-
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Oh look its cloudy and raining again.
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The forecast has proven totally wrong here again. It was supposed to be cloudy with sunny spells with it gradually clearing in the afternoon. Instead it was cloudy with a few sunny spells in the morning and now totally overcast.
34.5 hours of sunshine so far this month. This grey rubbish is relentless. Not a single clear day since 17th January.
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WYorksWeather urgh, not another June with constant easterlies. We had 14 hours of sunshine in the first 10 days here last year. At least its the CFS so it'll probably be wrong.
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richie3846 Unfortunately that isn't the case here. In March we had 45.8mm of rain but the first 9 days of April have already seen 36.8mm (and counting, as its raining now).
We're already at 80% of the monthly average just 9 days in, so its almost definitely going to be wetter than average for a 10th consecutive month here.
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Sun Chaser I can never understand this talk of "balance". The weather does no such thing.
On temperatures for example, we've had just one month more than 1C below the 1991-2020 average since May 2021 on the CET, but 19 have been more than 1C above. If this were to balance out then we'd be looking at an extended average or below average period being due. Likewise for sunshine and rain: 2022 was widely the sunniest year on record and this extended into 2023, so you could argue the current weather is "balance" to that. Likewise for rainfall - 2021 into most of 2022 was one of the driest periods on record, so you could argue the wetness of 2023-24 is balancing that out.
In reality the weather just does what it does, though in a more volatile manner these days it seems.
I think most would rather just have variety like there used to be, rather than constantly one type of weather for months on end. I suppose a dreadful thought is that this is what our climate is now - extended periods of dry and wet, dull and sunny, but mild/warm throughout.
It would be nice to just have some dry, settled and sunny weather at this point. I don't think many would disagree with that!
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The longest run of sunnier than average months here is May 2018 - April 2019:
May 2018: 280hrs (139%)
June 2018: 241hrs (131%)
July 2018: 267hrs (134%)
August 2018: 190hrs (103%)
September 2018: 158hrs (109%)
October 2018: 144hrs (133%)
November 2018: 79hrs (116%)
December 2018: 63hrs (121%)
January 2019: 74hrs (130%)
February 2019: 137hrs (171%)
March 2019: 155hrs (138%)
April 2019: 199hrs (128%)Total: 1987hrs (128%)
Almost 2000 hours in a year is impressive here. 2003 as a year just missed out as July was 100% of normal.
Our sunniest full year on record was 2022 with 1921 hours. 2003 had 1842 hours.
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WYorksWeather And it has:
Surface air temperature for March 2024
CLIMATE.COPERNICUS.EUWarmest March on record. 1.68C above the pre-industrial average. A large proportion of the Atlantic is still the warmest on record despite El Nino waning.
When do you predict the first 20°C and 25°C of 2024 will be?
in Spring Weather Discussion
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Addicks Fan 1981 I disagree. If people want to discuss when we might (or if) hit 20/25/30C then its fine. We have such a thread every year.