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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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MattTarrant

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  1. MattTarrant
    A little chilly next Saturday....
  2. MattTarrant
    That is an 0z chart but yes it would, what I like from the 6z development is that the Azores high is displaced out into the Atlantic allowing low heights to remain across Southern Europe. It would be even better if the high could just ridge a little up towards Greenland. Jet Stream backs the continuation of the feed of low heights into Southern Europe
  3. MattTarrant
    We have some lying snow here, mostly on cars & patchy on grass. 2.5 degrees.
  4. MattTarrant
    Very minor covering up on dartmoor....
  5. MattTarrant
    A link here to Haytor weather station here! Temperature there is dropping rapidly! 1.5 degrees. (450 metre altitude). http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Haytor/automatic/Current_Vantage_Pro.htm
  6. MattTarrant
    *cough*cough* look ahead!!
  7. MattTarrant
    I just went in there, now i believe we are a week from a heatwave
  8. MattTarrant
    Very true, though if you consider the Met Office Yellow warning of snow that stretches into the South West suggests that 2-5 cm of snow could fall even at lower levels. The above charts suggest otherwise, i would go with the Met office(UKMO). Plus the GFS has a more North Westerly component to it which hinders snow potential in the south west, UKMO more Northerly.
  9. MattTarrant
    Yes true, but the UKMO run is looking a little better in dragging the colder air down quicker than the GFS 12z. Though i wouldn't trust a GFS Precipitation chart if it was 3 days away!
  10. MattTarrant
    However, when the low clears it does once again draw in colder air!
  11. MattTarrant
    Yes no big freeze, but as ever the cold spell could increase or reduce by a day depending on the extent of ridging in the Atlantic. I would expect a 2-3 day period from current runs.
  12. MattTarrant
    Just thought i would post this as its a very good tool. The new Metcheck Super Ensemble. The attached chart is for my home town of Tiverton (61m). Some good agreement now with only three runs from the 60 runs showing positive 850mb temps. I would approximately say that 60/70% show around the -4/-5 mark with around 7 or so showing -9/-10
  13. MattTarrant
    Just a quick showcase of how much the orientation of the high makes so much difference to the 'prospects'. Much more amplified on the 12z 6z 228h Vs 12z 222h
  14. MattTarrant
    I was thinking the same thing though there is still too much energy coming of the Eastern seaboard for it to have the potential to form a more robust block. It's once again quite a potent PM incursion (Excluding the South West of course )
  15. MattTarrant
    The high pressure does seem to have retrogressed somewhat more than the 6z run which is good to see(I only got to quickly look at the 6z this morning so sorry if i'm wrong). The North Westerly (PM) incursion is already evident as incoming around 156h
  16. MattTarrant
    GFS 12z does begin to push increasing heights out of NE America around 198h which by 210h push up towards the Arctic. Hopefully this continues in the next runs.
  17. MattTarrant
    I have to agree completely with you on that one. The GFS doing its usual 'spinning up mega low pressures' thing by the end of the run. Still that Northerly is quite potent! *Note the Northerly I mention is nothing to do with the chart!
  18. MattTarrant
    The Rivers around here are getting seriously high, just about to exceed Sunday Morning's heights. The River Exe was getting relatively close to the underside of one of the 'tall' bridges.
  19. MattTarrant
    Yes these storms are quite small but wow they kicking out the lightning strikes at the moment!! #Saints4ever
  20. MattTarrant
    Maybe some fell of that boat caught near Aberdeen!
  21. MattTarrant
    There was some decent convection which led to elevated rain but its like it just couldn't tap into the energy! Air seems fairly clear with a few breaks developing now!
  22. MattTarrant
    Brightning up nicely here with temperatures rising steadily! A few rumbles would be nice later this afternoon!!
  23. MattTarrant
    I am keeping an eye on the sky haha, though I would never judge what is going to happen with the weather on the BBC precipitation graphics, on there latest video the precipitation has pushed further west and is likely to affect most of Devon. Here's hoping!!
  24. MattTarrant
    Even a small thunderstorm would go down a treat here! It does look like I am on the western fringe of activity but i'm staying positive!!
  25. MattTarrant
    Excellent weather here this morning, supplying plenty of surface heating with temperatures already rising nicely!! Could do with a few thunderstorms as have missed the majority of them this year. Wind convergence looks most likely to help storms here because CAPE is relatively low, wind is almost non existent so storms could cause some local flash flooding.
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