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Paul Sherman

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Posts posted by Paul Sherman

  1. Lots of Snizzle after some Moderate Snow around Midnight. 

    We are still too close to the sinking and fading Darcy but am hopeful the period from Midnight tonight until Midday Tuesday will bring along proper snow showers that at least might go yellow and orange on the radar intensity and not this light and dark blue rubbish.

    Roads around here were lethal last night, nobody I have spoken to has even seen a Gritter on the roads. Most of the Hills (Yes believe it or not we do have Hills around here) were death traps, Bread and Cheese Hill, Crown Hill, Church Lane all bad, the hill on the A127 from Fairglen into Rayleigh Weir was also closed for a time last night due to accidents.

    Stay safe out there its the ice thats the talking point at the moment not the snow, but there could be some deeper falls as we go into Tuesday. Then a couple of dry days and drying days to firm up the ground below the snow as its really muddy still underneath the snow cover.

    7am Obs

    Temp is -2c

    Dewp is -4c

    • Like 4
  2. 4 minutes ago, Bill4321 said:

    Absolutely. I've seen snow falling when the sky is blue and the sun is shining. I'm sure that someone way more clued up than me can explain the mechanics behind it but I guess that the snow falls high up, gets blown about in the higher atmosphere winds and lands miles away.

    It happens when Upper Winds are very strong and the snow is actually coming from a Shower Upwind of you, sometimes it can be over 10 mile away - Has happened here before in Convective Easterlies as well

    • Like 8
  3. 4th Ice Day of the Winter here.

    4cm at the end of the Day so not the greatest here but just stepped outside and everything is frozen solid, the sky has that proper convective streamer feel about it, my east view of the Estuary is of Showers forming just offshore, might be some Thundersnow for Kent Coasts tonight although Cape and LI not really supportive of that.

    Well done to the Bigger Spots like Clacton who got 14cm and I saw a report on the North Downs at 16cm, if those places get clobbered by another 15cm then in my opinion the Amber was warranted for them. 30cm of snow does not occur than often in the SE of England.

    But who would be a forecaster eh like a football referee you cant please everyone

    • Like 5
  4. 30 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    Absolutely. It’s a sad state of affairs when people have passed down knowledge, forecasts and input from their own time, to be slandered if for example lightning doesn’t hit their back yard, or 5 miles up the road gets a hammering and they don’t! Typical shallow behaviour, and usually from the type to have never read past a headline, or subheading and analyse the finer detail. Estofex make it very clear that a level 3 for example means that there is a 15% chance of severe weather, within 50km of a point!! Really isn’t that big a chance at all if you do the maths! 

    And thats the amazing part of it, for every person who doesn't, there are 100 people who understand just how hard it is.

    I did a High Risk in Kansas on a Tour once in 2008 , a PDS Tornado Watch was Issued and the dryline bubbled into life, Ma Nature had other ideas and not 1 scrap of Precip fell and the clouds bubbled away to Orphan Anvils, what did we do, well we took it on the chin and said Ma Nature won that little skirmish, we didnt hold it against her and nobody thought any worse after a few beers. These things happen, and then on days when its a Marginal Non Zero Tornado day you luck out on a stunning High Plains Stovepipe, rough with the smooth with the weather and nobody can call it completely correct if they tell you they can they are lying 

    • Like 6
  5. 5 minutes ago, lewis028 said:

    Ah sod them mate! The Eastwood group? We know when and if it’s going to snow, that’s all that matters! Did you manage to get some sledging in?

    Yh Cherry Orchard was busy. Great to see people walking dogs and kids having fun, its what they need.

    And yes if you dont get slagged for being too technical you get slagged for other things, just not worth the effort and wont be getting on more of mine.

    • Like 1
  6. Hammering it down again in Leigh On Sea after a 1 hour break of Light Snizzle.

    Temp has not got above 0c since it dropped below at 545am.

    Oh and one Facebook Page I give some forecasts for I have told to do one as one guy was complaining that my 6am start of the snow was delayed by 2 hours, this is what you are dealing with these days, Its a shame but I will not do it anymore and probably wont give out any thoughts soon on here as well, not worth the effort if the wind is in the wrong direction for instance.

    Good Luck with your streamers over the next 48 hours.

     

    • Like 5
  7. Hi Everyone

    Dan at WeatherQuest is trying to keep a database of Snow Depths from this cold spell. Would as many people as possible if you have time upload your depth to the following link. 

    You can update it hourly if you want from your Postcode even if you have nothing at all just upload the depth, it gives Dan a better idea of where snow has fallen etc (Much like his Lightning Strike Maps in the Summer) 

    Link Below

    WEATHERQUEST.CO.UK

     

    • Like 4
  8. 2 minutes ago, Lord Grogon said:

    Bit of a frustrating day here really. Been snowing all morning but very light. Small amounts settling on windward facing sides but nothing on the ground. It's simply too wet.

    The heavier stuff seems to be passing just to the east of here (Southend/Leigh) but moving in a NE > SW direction.  I keep looking at the radar for signs of westward movement. It seems to be a little bit, but I'm not sure if it's simply hope vs reality!

    Once that wind switches to ENE it should bring a lot more places further west into the action

    • Thanks 1
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