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Posts posted by Paul Sherman
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Lol would not call it a Sleeper Day - Probably the best day of May In my Opinion
Pretty much these are the 3 days that could save May coming up
After that its goodnight Vienna for a couple of weeks
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Yep
0.01mm since May 1st here and looks like it could stay dry until June
Could be a near record breaker on the way
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Dont hold your breath about tonight, most if not all models backed away from that now.
Yawnfest for the next few weeks as well
I did warn you all at the end of April it will be abysmal in the Uk this year
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For the Fishes - Yes
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Nearly at lift off over East London - Lets see how this goes
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Yep up at 5am to a clear sky.
Now rapid destabalisation taking place with AltCas everywhere and skie filled in to 7/8 with the approach of the Trough
Next 2-3 hours will show wether Storm will form or not
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6 minutes ago, Harry said:
I certainly can!!! And I am off Friday! What model(s) are you looking at Paul? WRF-NMM 5KM and Euro4 don’t strike me as inspiring for tomorrow night...hope your right though of course - 17C tomorrow night will be awful without a good ‘air clearing’
Whatever Model the Met Office were looking at - with this on T watter
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2 minutes ago, Harry said:
Euro4 is an absolute disaster - not one drop of rain.
Whereas Thursday night into Friday starting to look a whole lot better and still with darkness as well if you can stomach a 3am alarm - Lol
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11 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
I don't think it'll be resolved until tomorrow morning once the front has passed through
I meant probably a clearer angle from the 18z runs - You can pick out the shape of the trough coming in from the west already
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This really wont be resolved until Midnight tonight imho
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- Popular Post
Haha this is complete stupidity
You CANNOT Have a Supercell the size of the Uk, your talking 550 miles by 250 miles across
It is impossible
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Lol
A Supercell in average terms is generally 30 miles across
Think you are thinking of Convective Systems being 3 states in the USA
Crikey a Supercell the size of 3 states would devastate areas
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Looking more and more like an early start for chasing. 6z to 12z Madness. Anything for a Cg though. Early night Wednesday for me and up and out early Thursday
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19 minutes ago, staplehurst said:
You know the annoying thing is, if this were the U.S. you could easily shift the risk areas 50-100 miles east-west and no-one would notice. Being a relatively small island surrounded by water means (surface-based) storms either happen or don't, rather than just shifting the risk to the east - there's no happy medium. Frustrating to say the least!
Yh exactly its all about landmass and lack of it. The Elevated Storms we would not even bat an eyelid at whilst asleep at the hotel and we would be awaiting the time to recover for surface based storms in the Afternoon area probably with an Outflow Boundary left over from the Elevated Storms that would have raced off as an MCS. Ah well even a Cg at this stage would do me.
Will Message you on Fb to see if your out playing anyway Mr Hollybobs
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Yep great Forecast there Dan and really goes into detail about timings etc
But this is the Uk and if it can go wrong it WILL go wrong
MCS it is then after early Elevated Storms congeal and move North East - Hahaha
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27 minutes ago, Zak M said:
Beds?
Probably lol
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Am definately out in the field this Thursday focusing on Cambs / Lincs / Norfolk etc
If it holds together will send back regular pictures
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Yh believe it when I see it - But if it holds together will be chasing that for sure
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On 11/05/2020 at 13:30, Paul Sherman said:
Ding Dong the Plume is back which old Plume the "End of next week Plume"
Sung to the theme of the Munchkins in The Wizard of Oz
Could be very well played to the GooFuS for picking out the Pattern Change back on the 11th for the end of the Upcoming week.
Thursday to Sunday starting to look very interesting for some active weather and not this boring High Pressure
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Means fair weather no power in the atmosphere for it to grow upwards eg no steep lapse rates and no energy
Dont expect anything to change in the next 5-7 days either
Its a yawnfest unfortunately
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Or hope its progged for the Mid Atlantic and every eastwards shift puts it over the Uk and not up into Benelux haha
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Ding Dong the Plume is back which old Plume the "End of next week Plume"
Sung to the theme of the Munchkins in The Wizard of Oz
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Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Would not be surprised to see more backbuilding
Sea Breeze Convergence setting up down the East Coast
Weather United Kingdom and Ireland, Satellite Weather United Kingdom and Ireland, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in United Kingdom and Ireland - SAT24.com