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Paul Sherman

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Posts posted by Paul Sherman

  1. Saturday and Sunday still shaping up to be the season savers by the looks of things.

    Should be the first Moderate Risk issued for either day since the last week of April.

    Some of the soundings are showing some violent tornado potential in parts of South Dakota on Saturday

    One to watch........

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  2. VERY Active period coming up in the USA and more especially the Northern Plains. Starting today with a frontal boundary storms should be focused through Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin and Illinois.

    Much better risk on Thursday and Saturday coming up in Nebraska.

    Then the 500mb flow is looking favourable from the 6th until the following weekend across Co/Ne/Wy/Sd and some of the Central Plains.

    At least some interesting weather to follow through the riots

    • Like 8
  3. 17th July 2004 - Supercell Thunderstorm in Essex which initiated in Surrey and dropped a Tornado near Lowestoft. Got pummeled with Golf Ball Sized Hail at my location and put quite a few in the freezer for days to come.

    5th August 1981 the Day Darkness Storm over Chelmsford which followed a 7 hour Plume event the night before which I now probably know of as a Supercell. Think I have seen a paper which showed tops on that storm were over 45,000ft

    Alas since chasing in the US every year since 2004 nothing really does it for me in this country but would love a storm to prove me wrong 1 day

    • Like 6
  4. 39 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

    Yes Cal...I was up and ready overnight and although nothing spectacular jumped out of the sky...I believe that they were present imby....very faint at around 10-15° altitude

    noc.thumb.jpg.fd2921f8848474044e73b06db9d1c87b.jpg

     

    I`ll post the latest AIM images later when published

     

    What sort of Camera settings you doing for that picture please Arnie ?

    Is it Low F Stop and Medium range ISO ?

  5. No chance of an Upgrade already been downgraded

    These are pants risks when you have a crashing boundary surging south - The one at the start of May and in week 2 both busted and with absolutely zero upper winds theres no reason why this one wont as well.

    And after today a small risk in Illinois and thats yer lot until June

    Very Poor Season and Covid has probably saved us this year - Tour 1 and 2 would be Tornado less this year for the first time since 2005 

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