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Posts posted by Paul Sherman
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Area to watch is Ashford and Gatwick southwards from there
Pretty decent chance of Funnel Clouds today so keep em peeled down there
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Very faint display around 1130pm in Essex then vanished
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Could be an early show for once and not the 2-3am lol
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9 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
Is it cloudier where you are Paul?
Clear Skies above but cloudy out east - Have a clear view towards Holland and Belgium from here.
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Lol I must be the closest to that storm due east of me and even I cant see the lightning - Pmsl
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The Cone of Silence (SE Essex) somehow managed to dodge the showers as well today, most were west, quite a few to the North and South and some off the estuary to the east. Rainfall received was once again Trace Value
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10 minutes ago, Lance M said:
Looking at the radar, it seems I'm too far west for the flow of showers to come over this way. The drought continues!
Lol dont worry SE Essex Is in the Cone of Silence. Everything slides to our east and to our west. Its like the Cha Cha Slide song here
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Saturday and Sunday still shaping up to be the season savers by the looks of things.
Should be the first Moderate Risk issued for either day since the last week of April.
Some of the soundings are showing some violent tornado potential in parts of South Dakota on Saturday
One to watch........
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Sunny and Warm in Leigh On Sea with high level cirrus
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VERY Active period coming up in the USA and more especially the Northern Plains. Starting today with a frontal boundary storms should be focused through Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin and Illinois.
Much better risk on Thursday and Saturday coming up in Nebraska.
Then the 500mb flow is looking favourable from the 6th until the following weekend across Co/Ne/Wy/Sd and some of the Central Plains.
At least some interesting weather to follow through the riots
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Hit the Road yesterday evening and set up along the North Norfolk Coast. First signs on Camera and not to naked eye were at 1140pm straight North. The an amazing display from 0015 to 0255 clearly visible to the Naked Eye. The first bank of cloud moved off to the North West but the best display of the night appeared in the North East and rose higher into the sky as the onset of Sunrise approached.
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17th July 2004 - Supercell Thunderstorm in Essex which initiated in Surrey and dropped a Tornado near Lowestoft. Got pummeled with Golf Ball Sized Hail at my location and put quite a few in the freezer for days to come.
5th August 1981 the Day Darkness Storm over Chelmsford which followed a 7 hour Plume event the night before which I now probably know of as a Supercell. Think I have seen a paper which showed tops on that storm were over 45,000ft
Alas since chasing in the US every year since 2004 nothing really does it for me in this country but would love a storm to prove me wrong 1 day
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Was gunna say but not to be pedantic its 5 or 6 days away not 7 lol
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Stat Fact as well if the SPC dont upgrade to Moderate today then it is almost certain this will be the first ever May that no Moderate or High Risks have been issued by the SPC since they started doing the Risk Levels.
Abysmal Year for sure
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And most of those are double or triple reports - Shocking Month could even be actual figures below 100
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39 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:
What sort of Camera settings you doing for that picture please Arnie ?
Is it Low F Stop and Medium range ISO ?
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Actually with the boundary now stalled and clear skies this is looking better again around the Wichita Falls areas
2 Areas of Interest today
OFB in North Texas
Cold Core Tornadoes in NE Kansas and SW Nebraska
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No chance of an Upgrade already been downgraded
These are pants risks when you have a crashing boundary surging south - The one at the start of May and in week 2 both busted and with absolutely zero upper winds theres no reason why this one wont as well.
And after today a small risk in Illinois and thats yer lot until June
Very Poor Season and Covid has probably saved us this year - Tour 1 and 2 would be Tornado less this year for the first time since 2005
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15 minutes ago, Zak M said:
Hopefully the high cloud that is supposed to roll in tonight won't affect any of the distant lightning that is possible... fingers crossed!
There should be some good ones in SW Kansas tonight if you look to your west
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Fanks
In the words of Duncan Bannantyne
I'm ooot
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5 minutes ago, Harry said:
12z AROME and ARPEGE an improvement to my reckoning...may well set a 01:30 alarm after all.
Got any Charts to share Harry ?
Noctilucent Clouds Season 2020
in Space, Science & nature
Posted
Latest AIM is a beauty for tonight - Shame lots are clouded out tonight bah