Paul Sherman

Impressive for here as well probably more exposed to the Easterly Outbreak. 7th Feb @ 1400 Temp was -0.6c 8th Feb @ 1400 Temps was -1.2c 9th Feb @ 1400 Temp was 0.4c 10th Feb @ 1400 Temp was 1.2c 11th Feb @ 1400 Temp was -0.3c 12th Feb @ 1400 Temp was -1.9c Just 2 Days above Freezing and with an expected temp around or just below freezing tomorrow this will be an impressive 7 Day spell. One problem with the CET maybe a very warm start and if ECM is correct could come in around or just below average which is a big shame. But at least we are bucking the trend with the way above average months lately.

High pressure is much harder to push out of the way so we have that on our side but I think unfortunately it just relaxes away enough to affect only Western Germany and Poland etc but encouraging signs that High Pressure will never be far away and the Atlantic is very sleepy this time of year. As others have noted amazingly dry dewpoint air coming in now my obs below 6z Temp was -1c with dewpoint of -4c 7z Temp was -1c with dewpoint of -4c 8z Temp was 0c with dewpoint of -4c 09z Temp was 0c with dewpoint of -5c 10z Temp was 0c with dewpoint of -5c 11z Temp was -1c with dewpoint of -6c 12z Temp was -2c with dewpoint of -7c Ground absolutely frozen solid now with no wet underneath the ice, if we can get a week of dry weather before another shot the snow should be spectacular

Strangely that Easterly wind not letting up the fight that easily, thought by now we would firmly be in a South Easterly veering to SSE by tomorrow but most places still with East winds more especially the East Kent coasts and this is advecting in super dry air with some -9c dewpoints creeping over from France and Belgium. When exposed to that wind it is harsh luckily the snow pack is so crunchy and iced over there is thankfully little chance of drifting otherwise there would be some impressive totals blown into North West and West areas exposed to this wind.

Beautiful end to a stunning winters day. 5cm of overnight snow and temp only rose to 0.1c at 2pm. Have really enjoyed this spell reminded me of the normal winters we used to get in the 1980s discarding 1987 of course which was a totally different beast

Its a dog isnt it

After seeing Long Tailed Tits in the garden for the first time this year Just seen about 30 Fieldfare's which again I have not seen in the garden. Having a bit of a day of it with the Barn Owl this morning at 7am and the Green Woodpeckers swooping in and out of the trees earlier.

Think I filmed it Mate around 1130pm last night? Been out to Belfairs Woods and done some B&W Photography. Stunning over there VID_20210210_234523.mp4 VID_20210210_234523.mp4 VID_20210210_234523.mp4 VID_20210210_234523.mp4 VID_20210210_234523.mp4 VID_20210210_234523.mp4 VID_20210210_234523.mp4

Its definately to do with a wind farm reacting to a radar beam or something like that. Its there in the summer as well and sometimes appears in another place north of the Kent Coast where there is another offshore wind farm. I have seen it in every month of the year. There are a few of these in the USA and well and are land wind farms which the doplar radar picks up as convection when in fact there is nothing there but clear skies.

Thanks buddy and so glad you guys did so well. Think I have 1 more cold spell in me before we get that warm sun heating up the landmass and creating spring convection. Looks like another year of Uk Storms for me this year so hoping our little part of the world has more luck with Storms than 2020. Dont think Tornado Alley is on the cards anytime soon so my beloved Supercells will have to wait another year, hoping to get down to Dungeness for some Imports and watch some Storms roll in from La France.

Quite happy with how yesterday went, and my forecast was pretty good overall. Expected the Twig to be over Mid Kent then relaxing eastwards and the divergence and convergence eased away south into the channel. ALways knew places from Medway Towns to East kent were going to be in the sweet spot with this NE Set-Up. As expected a new area of convergence was expected from Midnight until 8am this morning in the Thames Estuary as winds relaxed to first ENE then East and now East South East which would bring more of the Thames Corridoor into play and NW Kent and parts of London. I know some were not overly hopeful but the High Pressure was far enough north for this little window of opportunity to have its final farewell and looks like the Estuary SST's of 7c mixed with Uppers clinging on around -9c were enough to generate some lift at 650mb for some shallow to medium sized showers with tops around 10,000ft to 14,000ft in some cases, indeed some instances of Thundersnow occured last night as well off the Kent and Essex coasts. I think the nice thing going forward is we seem to be on the cusp of a nice dry spell of weather which should hopefully help the water table out a bit if a reload comes in the last week of February.

Just been on a 2 mile walk over Cherry Orchard Park so luck to have this a few hundred metres from my house. Saw a Barn Owl and Green Woodpecker but they were too fast for my camera skills. Closer inspection is about 5cm on grass.

Lol woke up to Narnia Tom Watched the first 2 Estuary Snow Streamers until 1am and knew we would get hammered most of the night. As others have said more than the first 3 days put together rough guess looking out probably 3 inches has fallen. Going for a walk to get some pics as it's stunning.

Also lucked out that I said Whitstable westwards should be on the look out for snow showers this evening 2 and a half hours ago but hey what do I know. Like I said you get decent comment from certain posters in here and others just come in here for cheap shots and snide remarks to stir the pot. Anyway can't be bothered with all that so will get back to my chicken curry cooking. Enjoy the cold tonight everyone

My 225 Tornadoes have clearly been all luck Ian - It's 99% luck and 1% following Reed Timmer come on surely you know that

Like I said not great at reading radar and don't know where airmasses come from and don't know a thing about clippers or streamers or slappers. You can get good content from an area of Sussex though always adds value

Canterbury to Folkestone you are in for an early evening treat. Going to be some nice totals from this.

Some hope for NW Kent and SE London for later on Not great at reading the radar but these seem to be on a ENE to WSW heading now and even the ones behind it. Screen grabs at 1640 and 1740 respectively

Keep an eye along the North Kent coast from Whitstable westwards those showers are starting to turn to the WSW from SW - Downside is solar input is waning so intensity might wear off. But definate ENE to WSW trends about 30 miles north of the Kent Coast

Lost your keys lol

Lol too much flooding since October. Made a right mess of me grass.

It should end up as a Dangler in the Channel. Might even bend back a bit towards coastal Hampshire or Dorset by the end of its life

Still think it will be 2pm to 4pm as per my earlier post but you might be lucky to keep it longer

Convergence Line relaxing eastwards from SE Essex - Byeeee And also the kids Snow Dwarfs head has come off but still got a cracking weeble

Lol just hints in the last 30 minutes the steering flow might be changing a bit at this end of the Estuary, last 30 minutes my Weather Station getting more easterly element into the wind, and would you believe it after all that snow slipped to our south - Hahaha this snow chasing is worse than Upslope Flow trying to tempt a Supercell off the mountains, sometimes it can take 5 hours for them to leave the mountains. I will be livid if the winds go more ENE in the next few hours after that Sheerness and Medway Towns snowstorm has slipped by us

New Romney to Newhaven probably a safe bet, need the streamer on the east side of the eastern end of the North Downs for it too slide into the Channel. As Stu London says the North Downs really takes it out of the Showers. When the ENE Streamer 12 years ago hit, the north side of the downs was plastered, the south side had a lot less so the hills really impact these