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Paul Sherman

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Everything posted by Paul Sherman

  1. Obs 4am Temp was 2.8c and Dewpoint was 2.1c 5am Temp was 2.1c and Dewpint was 0.9c Getting there slowly
  2. Canterbury taking a right old walloping already which is a good sign
  3. Yes and Girls are allowed to be late..... Maybe Darcy thinks its her wedding day and she has gone around the block a few more times
  4. yesssss Good signs its snowing 40 miles to our north and good signs we still have a North Easterly off the land and not hot easterly off the tropical bath lol
  5. Yes Darcy is nearer Denmark than she is to the Uk, if you look on Sat24 at the Benelux radar and run it you can see a finger of cloud now running in a straight NE To SW line down the coast of the Uk
  6. The thing that gives me hope is......... Look on XCWeather at the Buoy Data in the North Sea and all are around -2c to -4c Also Norwich and Wattisham are now at zero
  7. That made me laugh out loud Stu Think Arome was defo one of them, cant remember the other
  8. No not really, when things are off by a full 5c on the dewpoint at any given timestamp (eg it was supposed to be -3c on the dewpoint at 4am) on 6 of the 8 models i looked at you know something has gone badly wrong at the beginning of the modelling. Look at it this way, If I was chasing tornadoes and the temp was supposed to be 80f and the Dewpoint around 72f and in effect the dewpoint was 66f I would not expect to see tornadoes and only High Based Thunderstorms due to the high temp/dp spread and quickly tell my eager customers that some pretty clouds would be in the offing and not low lcl ground scraping tornadoes. Something looks to have gone wrong with the modelling of Darcy or it gone awry somewhere over in the low countries We shall see if trends improve in the next few hours but not holding my breathe, not writing off the whole spell but this first bite (frontal) is looking dodgy now
  9. Darren Slightly concerning that all locations up and down the east coast have positive dewpoints even in the North East ? I dont like the look of this one bit Could be a huge round of applause to Ian from last night coming here as he might have spotted the alarm bells ringing very early with how Darcy was acting around 10pm last night
  10. Deary Deary Deary me This could go down as the Biggest Bust of them all Absolutely shocking modelling from every single Model, when your expected Temperature at 4am is 5c too high and your dewpoint is 7c too high something tells you something has badly gone wrong Think I said I would retire and leave the weather forums if this failed well looks like I might be on me way out This will go down in History though bigger than THAT ECM
  11. Just look at the difference between these 2 radar grabs North Sea Filling Up
  12. And before people say its later than planned check the Amber warning box, it starts at 0400 on Sunday 7th Feb
  13. No way Hose not that brave when breakdowns are being looked at Btw Nice Radar on Sat24 from the NL Radar on there, shows the westwards movement and shearing off the coast of Denmark, run the annimation, looks further north than modelled but all on track for a 4am hit Infrared satellite images of Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Clouds in Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg at night and in the evening. Weather Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Satellite Weather Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Rain in Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg - SAT24.com EN.SAT24.COM Infrared satellite images of Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Clouds in Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg at night and in the evening. Weather Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Satellite Weather...
  14. Think your DP sensor might be broke as your Dewpoint cant be higher than your temp, not possible in Meteorology might be worth getting that checked
  15. We moved a few years ago used to be 135ft asl but now down to 81ft asl so marginality is awful for here Just up the road though in Rayleigh it can get to around 200ft asl and thats only 3 miles away
  16. Yep Expecting 10cm tomorrow and then streamer should add another 10cm on Monday, should have 20cm going into Tuesday locally. Great thing is snow will stick around all week, with freezing fog and rime and then cold carries on into next weekend
  17. I am not even commenting in here atm, just laughing at the comments in the background Your wasting your breathe Daniel. Leave em to it
  18. This is totally normal for these events Happens like Clockwork and same with Plume Set-Ups in the summer Its hilarious
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