Paul Sherman

Nearly There People 11 Guests on Tour 1 of which 4 of returning guests. We will have 7 Double rooms and 1 single on this Tour. So far it looks like it will work out quite nicely with only 6 of the boys pairing up to share. Room 1 - Paul and Andre Room 2 - Richard and Ed Room 3 - Jock Room 4 - Danny and Ruby (Couple) Room 5 - Sarah and Rebecca Room 6, 7 and 8 between Adam, Sam and Paul Hunter (All returning Guests) and John Taylor, Gregg Lees and Mihai

Wednesday will almost Certainly be a Moderate Risk this week, Tuesday could hold a few surprises as well if Storms can Tornado early before the Cap kills em off. Would expect at least 2 siginificant Tornadoes on the 2nd May, most probably in Oklahoma and Kansas. Some of the Soundings are already showing PDS Tornado potential. Pretty gutting its not exactly a week later. But thems the cards we are dealt!

Yh after looking back at posts can see you defending the forecasters so sorry for the dig. I just hope most people on here appreciate the time and effort these guys go to for us and the general public No hard feelings at all. Just as an aside note, last night after meeting up with Peter Scott to shoot some lightning he mentioned he had spoken to Dan earlier in the day (Saturday) and Dan had stated there was the possibility of a Storm that could become a Supercell over East Anglia on Sunday. Absolutely spot on to him as I dont know how many of you know that today saw that rare visitor to our shores. A storm initiated around 4pm near Saffron Walden and tracked up to Bury St Edmonds where it became Surface based, it then turned right from the deviant flow and produced a left split storm (Splitting is indicitive of a highly Sheared Storm/Supercell) this storm after looking at a sounding actually utilised locally 2000jkg of Surface based cape and produced hail upto 1cm in diameter. What an amazing few days

Was it this one MPR ?? Only 1 part of that was correct ? No Surface Based Storms in the Green Box and most of the Yellow Box North and East of Sussex never saw a flash of Lightning ? Forecasting Storms is hard Innit

Ah sorry must have missed it, will trawl back through the pages and have a look - Cheers MPR

It says in your Logo "Amatuer Meteorologist and Storm Forecaster" Ben Any chance you could put a little effort into a forecast for the next convective event ? It's all too easy to bash others that give their opinions on here. Remember they are forecasting when conditions look favourable with what they have on the table from the models they look at and it did to them warrant a Moderate with 800-1000 MU Cape and an active front coming in from the west. Like I said hope to see you forecast the next chance of Thunder in the Uk and will look out for it and certainly WONT bash it if it goes wrong - Dan and Convective Weather like Torro and Nick here on Netweather do an amazing job and should be applauded IMHO

I never saw the talk of them fizzling Gordon ?? We have between 750-1000 MU Cape over a lot of the UK today so like others have said these are Elevated Storms not working off juice at the surface, what they always contain is lots of lightning and sometimes some decent hail in the stronger cores. Luck of the draw overnight but if your willing to take yer phone, your 5 min radar updates and have a car it should be pretty simple to find one

Meh Cant you do both, call yourself a Storm Chaser Average chase day in the Alley is between 500-700 miles Get on it buddy!

Loving the fact lots of you are coming in on the 7th and not the 8th. If anything is close to DFW 2 of the 3 cars will be ready to chase so could be some bonuses - Woohoo

SW Iowa for me hoping something can turn to the right along and under the Warm Front, nice chase terrain there as well with lots of Corn Fields that will have some great visibility due to no 6ft Corn Stalks getting in the way. East of Little Rock as you know Neil is decent chase country with not many trees, West of Little Rock forget it mate!

Not Long Now Tour 1 - Just over 4 weeks to go Cannot wait to see those Supercells again!

Floods you say ? Watch this space

Lol Smurf just mentioned the Immortal words - TSS Good Friday Thames Snow Streamer - Lets hope it delivers more than the last one last week which dumped 0.00001mm

Looks like it has some of Essex name on it as well if I am reading the radar returns correctly

Thorndon it is then, and thats closer to me as well

Here it is even more Stark We have a dusting, whereas Chelmsford and Brentwood which are about 1o miles North of here have 10cm - All about luck mate

Its the same with the SPC to be fair in the US Even when a Mod or High Risk is issued and not a cloud forms for a particular reason they let the warning expire at the permitted time, just in case I think

How you get that much and how did it sneak past me here Coming the 15 miles to Brentwood to sledge tomorrow then, any decent venues apart from South Weald ?

This looks more like a traditional ESE Streamer, which runs true with SWF and Chelmsford having 5-8cm whereas Leigh ON Sea has barely a dusting on the roads and still the 3cm from this morning on the grass. Pi$$ Poor

Can see big line of Cbs to my north over the crouch estuary - seems to be drying out down here atm which is a worry

Actually there is a mass of greens and yellows moving into the Mouth of the Estuary and it does seems to be moving WWSW atm. Could be the saviour for most if it keeps it course, does not help there is a radar hole in the Thames Estuary as well

Yh very strange Radar movements this evening, some of it is moving WSW other parts moving WNW. Someone will get lucky my money is on North to Central Essex through Herts

Really hammering it down in Leigh On Sea, everything getting covered fast including roads

Yh really starting to ramp up a bit now, this does look like a classic streamer to me, moreso than Beast Part I a few weeks back. Beast Mark III looks like it could ruin Easter Egg Hunts as well - Love It! Just hope that UKV is correct as have sledging pencilled in for 9am tomorrow morning

Nope coming down thick and fast now and finally settling on the paths and side roads