Spikey M
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There's blossom on the trees and daffodils springing here. Wahoo.
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Last summer was a complete bust here on the SouthEast coast. Any warm spells the country had, we were sat under a North Easterly airflow for. I remember being 7c cooler than inland during May. Fingers crossed we get the opposite this summer!
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Sitting here, watching the drizzle with the temperature sitting at 10c is exceptionally irritating when I keep hearing about the nations cold snap on the news.
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After an awful summer last year, I want the barbecue out early doors this spring please.
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Absolutely. And it feels like it should be relatively simple to achieve. Either by having the matrix front and centre with the map, or by displaying likelihood as a percentage within the map. You have to wonder why they haven't. It must have occurred to them.
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The problem is people don't take the time to understand the warnings. They just look at the map and see they are under a yellow, amber or red warning and they think: Yellow: it's going to be windy. Amber: it's going to be REALLY windy Red: airborne cottages. But that isn't the case, the colour addresses 2 factors. Danger and LIKELIHOOD. The likelihood always seems to be overlooked. A yellow can mean either "we are confident that it's going to be windy" OR "there's a 0.01% chance of the strongest storm in history on thursday". Until people stop to look at the matrix, they are going to keep accusing the Met of getting it wrong. Even when they haven't.
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That last video
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Maybe my neighbour only lost those roof tiles psychologically. That'll save her some money. Sorry, but this place really does descend into quite baffling silliness sometimes.
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And this is why people should pay more attention to the risk matrix, rather than just the warning map. The risk was substantial, the likelihood was not. People claiming "crying wolf" usually just haven't looked.
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2 Fence panels down and we've had 2 short power cuts here. Seems to have died down a Little though.
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They can't win either way. If they have names and warnings, it's overdramatic and unnecessary. If they just say "it's going to be windy" and a tree falls and kills a family in a car, then those same people complain that they didn't know it was going to be that bad.
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I needed a degree in Ice Sculpture to get in the car this morning. -
I'm not sure to be honest, certainly something to look into though. Thank you.
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I am very much ready for the end of this cold snap. I love living in my rickety old cottage, but we are in a conservation area and stuck with single pane windows at the front to "uphold the character of the area". This is the first real cold snap since we moved here in 2022, and having icicles INSIDE the windows has been... interesting. That said, the storm on Sunday/Monday looks like another strong'n, and we could without forking out for yet more fence panels!
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There seems to be alot accumulating over the North Sea. If this continues into the Evening as the temperature drops off the Met Office could end up with egg on their face for not issuing a warning.
