Fourty Point Three Degrees

Seems to tie in well with the MO updates of a warm spell come mid May

Quite a tasty looking 18z for summer heat fans, temps up to mid 20's for most and lasting for a number of days.... More runs needed before we all go into excite mode !!

Wasn't Western Europe battered by storms and floods last June? We were lucky enough they narrowly missed the UK ending up in france, Storms like this don't normally attack Western Europe for a second summer running hopefully.

and as if by magic whoomph its gone in the 12z

I was only 1 year old during the '76 charade so I think I missed it

If you could throw any month of summer from any past year together to make one single poor summer which months/years would you go for? My ultimate poor summer would be: June 2012 July 2002 August 1993 June 2012 for obvious reasons, July 2002 was very autumn like to start although there was slight improvement later on, August 1993 for its cool temperatures.

Do I see hints of May 2012 in this bbc forecast for the end of May: Monday 15 May—Sunday 28 May An uncertain end to the month, but warmer perhaps? An elevated level of uncertainty is an inherent feature of medium to long range weather forecasting, but even taking account for this fact, the level of uncertainty in the forecast of the end of May is relatively high at time of writing. The array of computer models that we utilise to make our forecasts are returning an unusually wide range of possible solutions for the end of the climatological spring. However, common themes of slightly warmer and drier than average conditions are at least two factors that the different models broadly agree on for the last weeks of May. At this time of year, it is often the case that the jet stream takes on a broader, and wider meander in the vicinity of the skies above Europe, which often leads to the development of slow moving anticyclones, or 'blocking highs'. In such conditions, the impact on the UK weather can, at times, lead to very slow moving changes. It is therefore inferred that a blocking high will likely be the cause of the prolonged drier or warmer spell in our current forecast.

I still have positive thoughts for this summer. June/July very anti-cyclonic and dry with the odd hot spell and plume, August becoming autumnal as always the case with August these days.

yes seen a few myself buzzing around street lights at night and thought it was bit early for moths

I don't know if Louise Lear or the beeb have noticed this but the shape of that jet stream with a Low Pressure positioned at each side ... judge for yourselves!!

This blocking HP over Greenland looks like it could take some shifting and I'm glad we're getting it now rather than in June. May will be a month of switching between E'lys and N'lys with LP skimming the far South.

MO have been promising summery warmth for the early part of May for some time now. Even ensembles is showing dryer and above average temps following Bank holidays washout. I think more runs are needed for next week.

I take it that i'm the guilty cherry picker

Some nice barbecue-tastic looking charts for week 1 of May!! A sign of things to come?? we'll see..

Too much negativity!!! A lot of the models are pointing towards warm and dry conditions.

Given the dry period we've had so far, an upcoming dry summer would be worrying as far as reservoirs are concerned, particularly in SW.

Yes only trying to spark a conversation about an interesting subject, The arctic circle fascinates me.

Interesting reading, the further north you go, the more daylight you'll get. Here are the sunset times for Iceland in June. https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/iceland/reykjavik?month=6

Daily Mirror trying to kick up a stink and give Thomaz S a bad name over simply............nothing! http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/bbc-weatherman-fast-forwards-2017-as-he-gives-forecast-for-christmas-in-april/ar-BBzMSII?li=BBoPWjQ

I predict something like 2006 or 2013, I cant see another June being any worse than last year and another summer being any worse than the last three 2014/5/6.

I think the bbc have a too big self-serving bias thing. Over-exaggerating London with temps hitting 25c on Sunday yet only showing 17c for elsewhere that isn't in a region just a few miles North of London. They seriously do love themselves too much.

Lots of people seem to be keen on counting back in Fives lately.. Lets count back in Elevens instead

That end of May prediction has overtones of May 2012 written onto it. The end of May 2012 was dominated by warm air and Spanish plumes and bringing that awful June along with it. I do hope this June isn't going to be the same.

Congratulations!!!

John Hammond leaving, no way!!!.He was the best one. I will miss his "I'll update you again tomorrow" line at the end of his week ahead forecasts. Hope he makes a comes back, they sometimes do.