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K9

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Posts posted by K9

  1. 1 hour ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

    It's like chasing rainbows or waterfalls. Might need to stick to the river streams and lakes for now until some concensus towards proper cold (below -5c average 850s) appears inside t120.?‍♂️

    My thoughts exactly....charts seem to be all over the place with no 'real' sign of any decent low 850's heading our way...but with this in mind, what instances have we had where by the charts have suddenly flipped and unexpected proper cold has landed on our shores ??...does this actually happen...can anyone remember such a situation ??

  2. Some nice charts popping up for a weeks + time... makes good viewing...but i'm keeping my feet firmly on the ground up here in God's own county and refuse to join the band wagon that as we all know has a tendency to grind to  an abrupt downgraded induced halt ! ?....on the flip side...makes for some excellent posts and model watching...enjoy !!??

    • Like 3
  3. Well all the expectations/potential failed to deliver the goods this year...all the eye candy  was 10+ days out every time ...but it made 'interesting' viewing and I've enjoyed all the posts and predictions this winter despite it being one of the most snowless ones in these parts that I can remember for a long time!.. (two very brief dustings) 2018/19..the winter that never was!..so it's time to get off the rollercoaster and save up for a ticket for next winters ride!.. take care folks..here's to a long hot summer eh??????

    • Like 3
  4. Well it appears that the snow shield has been turned up to full power here in West Yorkshire,only a couple of short lived dustings (admittedly prob a bit more if you're at altitude)since the beginning of winter and it's only this past week that we've seen a decent frost !!?...pretty disappointing winter really..let's see if March can deliver something before thoughts turn to summer!!..for now I'll just have to make do with watching the snow 'darn  saarf' on the news!?

  5. ..first venture into the regionals after a few months riding the disappointing model output forum 'hunt for something remotely cold' rollercoaster !?...another big build  up and an even bigger let down ?..all gone waaaaay way south..so far south that those snow clouds are gonna need a passport!..a pants 'winter' so far here in Gods own county...but there's always February ..right???..anyway..enough moaning..what will be will be ..hats off to all those that post their forecasts on here ...makes for great reading ...here's hoping for at least one decent fall of the white stuff before our thoughts turn to warmer months!!??

  6. 4 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

    GFS 78h still looks good for more northern areas. Also bbc had the snow on thursday night reaching as far north as southern scotland!

    image.thumb.png.afb9e5afdaa91f132337b4df86fda225.png

    I hope so,although from this mornings posts with folk stating that it's edging south on each run,us snow starved Yorkshire peeps look like missing out all week!..???

    • Like 1
  7. 4 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

    The Background signals are really starting to show as we go further into February on the Gfs 6z operational!?

    06_288_ukthickness850.png

    06_300_uk2mtmp.png

    06_300_mslp850.png

    06_312_ukthickness850.png

    06_324_uk2mtmp.png

    06_324_mslp850.png

    I think I'll put the unused sledge away and dust off the BBQ with those 850's and 2m temps!..just about sums this winter (or total lack of) up!!???

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    • Thanks 1
  8. Half decent set of charts popping up today...but beyond the reliable for me...i think for everyone's sanity we shouldn't post past T96 - 120! ?.... the rollercoaster continues to roll but without delivering the goods.... but hats off to all those that try and predict the future that mother nature has for us...makes for excellent reading peeps!!...anyway onto the 12Z??...i'll just keep enjoying the first decent frost of the season that arrived last night...still below freezing here in the shade !

    • Like 1
  9. Pretty grim over on the model output thread....as it has been for a couple of months ... plenty of hype but nothing tangible to back it up..always 7 to 10 days away...don't get me wrong..I love the cold weather ..and love a decent cold chart..but only when it's in the reliable time frame ...not FI as most have been lately..a decent cold spell in Jan and/or Feb seems to be a thing of the past!..anyway..time to sack the chart viewing off for a few days for the sake of my sanity ..hopefully I'll return to good news!!..?

    • Like 3
  10. 1 hour ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

    Nothing exciting at Sea Level on the GFS - strong LP's held off by the emerging Scandi.

    FI has the Polar floodgates possibly opening on 24-12-18 :santa-emoji:

    h500slp.thumb.png.59e45c1da37ffeb5ed254e8d6f0289ee.png

    .....but it's FI

    I'd take that any day of the week and gladly wait for it...as always...FI land ...but having flicked through the charts up till then (admittedly only GFS) with my extremely amateurish eyes...this is the only thing that really resembled 'winter'.....what i'd give for a snowy Christmas !!....hopefully exciting times ahead for this winter...hats off to all you knowledgeable posters on here..makes great reading!!  

    • Like 3
  11. 7 minutes ago, bazookabob said:

    The BBC app shows nothing for me too but the Met office app has constant snow and snow showers from 8am until 4am tomorrow. I ignore the BBC since they parted company with the Met office, they've been clueless!

    Edit: hilariously, the BBC TV forecast shows heavy snow showers all day and all night for the whole region!

    I won't keep my hopes up though for a covering being present when I wake ftom my night shift induced coma???..my radar app shows precipitation first thing today then virtually nothing for the next two days ????

  12. Well that's my night shift finished time for sleep..only a very light dusting of snow here in Gods own county of West Yorkshire ..and IMBY at Wakefield virtually zero snow with a current temp of 0.3 deg..?..to add insult to injury the BBC forecast has changed dramatically for the next two days showing virtually no snow bar the odd light shower!!..damn you BBC weather App!!..sort of goes massively against what folk on here were expecting ...?

  13. 1 hour ago, Paul_1978 said:

    An awful lot of excitement about this easterly recently. 

    “It’s going to be like Jan 1987”, “We’re going to get buried”. 

    At present we have less than 1cm in Wakefield. Feb 1991 it ain’t :sorry:.

    I'm with you on that one mate...a total non-event here in God's own county....don't get me wrong i love watching outputs of 'eye-candy' charts and a good snow event, but this has been ramped up beyond belief by many on here ( historic, brutal cold,well into March, ...the ramps went on and on...) and is rapidly turning into a feline cat rather than a beast that will fizzle out into a cold/cool damp/wet ending....( how i would love to be proved wrong mind you but the writing is on the wall so to speak and another damp squib of a winter comes and goes )...just goes to show you can't trust the model outputs many days in advance, even in this age of high tech super computers !!..nature will be whatever it wants...and predicting it's outcome (accurately), even a short time into the future is nigh on impossible !!

    • Like 1
  14. 29 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

    Is that a polar low? I know it has been described as such but I always associated with Arctic airmasses, in showery air streams with hpas sub -40C and they don't have frontal systems as such. This one is over land and under very high pressure. 

    I'll be interested in what the synoptic experts think.

    I was just going to ask the very same thing...squinting at the various models trying to figure it out with my very novice  eyes !!:)

  15. 19 minutes ago, BlakeyWeather said:

    Even the hailed ICON is on board this morning so its in the bag :D

    There was snow up to the gutters at Blakey in 2010 so anything less if this spell happens and I will be very disappointed.

    icon-0-180.png?20-00snowtables.jpg

    Holy #### thats some snow drift !!....anyway back to the models, still looking good...some even suggesting the colder air makes an appearance 'slightly' sooner than thought to my very untrained eye?..

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    • Thanks 1
  16. 1 minute ago, Kentish Snowman said:

    The Outer Hebrides are the mildest part of the UK on that chart under a toasty -6 upper air!  :rofl:

    How far west realistically can we expect to see the 'cold pool' of low 850's go with the current outputs?..I know this 'potential' cold spell is still a fair few days away and things are constantly subject to change, just fancied picking your brains and hearing your thoughts ?

  17. 1 minute ago, ZK099 said:

    Well I think everyone is pretty confident on the synoptic pattern that is about to evolve. The only question is where the high will sit. If the ECM corrects northwards on the next two/three runs I think we can get excited

    Fair point...i just like to get to around +96 before i allow a smile to break out...seen far too many 'garden paths' since the olden days of the 'BBC Forum' where it all crashed and burned ( even at +48 TBH !! ) at the last minute....great model outputs though courtesy of the SSW...eyes down for a full house over the next few days !!

    • Like 1
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