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rain_shadow

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  1. Sorry Nick, if it came down like that, I did not mean to compare the two (trust me, I understand the difference) and did not say they are clueless. I merely pointed out that the forecast changes as the model output changes so anything can happen mid term (it is still true that this weeks sunny days forecast on uk level was a failure - I should have mentioned it in the moans thread). This however is nothing to do with the macrosynoptics of course. I am grateful to be able to learn from all of you here.
  2. I know. but it won't last forever was my main message there and even the BBC forecasters cannot confidently say what will happen in 3 weeks time. I just pointed out on a separate note that "the experts" were unable to predict the cloud cover just 1 day ahead - the lack of sunshine is frustrating for some.
  3. Oh the BBC FORECAST...They could not correctly forecast this week on Monday, never mind next week. What happened to the sunny days with frost? 1 day sun on Wed and then low cloud is back. I did not hear them to say sorry. The models are changing from run to run as the cold air in Central Eu generates mediterranean cyclones which are unpredictable. Probably the next run will be colder again. I can only repeat the mantra: "More patience needed." Often, big surprises just pop out of "nowhere". Did we see the BFTE last year this time? No.
  4. No but if it hits someone, and is widespread, it is at least "be prepared" for goodness sake. 85-120km/h gusts for 6-8 hours. Yellow. Really?
  5. A foot thick branches coming off in North Wales. Yellow warning? - how utterly ridiculous... and we pay the wages of these guys...
  6. When we will have a sunny day next? Yesterday: cloudy, day before: cloudy, last week: cloudy, the week before: cloudy. oh and today: guess what! - cloudy. No matter which wind direction is, even after this front: low cloud/medium level cloud. bbc: "britghter conditions to follow on Wednesday" -that can mean anything, what a genius forecast in 2018... Ramp over, waiting for the sun.
  7. Those bbc automated cloud forecasts worth nothing. Sun will come out soon!
  8. Yes but forecast completely failed here, for Southport today hours of warm Sunshine today.
  9. Sunny days mixed with showery ones, T around the very pleasant 20C every day and even a touch warmer is showing on the models, leaves are on the trees, it is very much Summery in North Wales and further S and E. My glass more than half full. Enjoy Summer.
  10. Mediocrity...I will take it any time over the heatwave in SW Europe. It is not all doom and gloom, it could be much worse, it will still feel summery, don't need 30C to celebrate Summer, 20C is just right. We are lucky living on this Island without very extreme heatwaves (so far), you have to endure some Atlantic influence in return. I see no washout or cold for the season on the models (currently). I will now go outside and enjoy the Summer!
  11. All this talk about the hot weather and sunshine returning... it is warm, yes, but a cloudfest here since last Saturday, really. Could be worse of course but a world away from the gloriousness we had in June.
  12. 3rd day of low cloud in North Wales with little sunshine, I bet it will stay cloudy today as well. Last two days I could see the edge of the cloud to the east (Cheshire) which did not seem to move West whatsoever. These localised showers worth not much and you need a miracle to have a T storm in N Wales or at least sunshine for home grown t storms so will see tomorrow.If this low cloud won't disappear, I don't expect much excitement.
  13. you are right, I was joking . our luck had to come with the almost perfect position of the high pressure (that if you like what is coming). Lack of rain is a concern though but you can't have everything...
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