Day 10
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Everything posted by Day 10
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Cool skyline right now.
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frosty ground Thanks mate but the link doesn't work?
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Anyone got a link to UKMO precipitation charts, had a great link once but I've somehow lost it!
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GFS loses the plot again after t72 but crucially comes into line with the ECM beforehand. Can see the event being rain to several hours of snow and then back to rain.
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GFS 6z vs GFS 12z.
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cheshire snow
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BIG improvement from the ICON! Old run on the left.
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First out the blocks the Arpege.
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Wish it could just say... It WILL snow on Thursday, 5-10cm's Guaranteed, 10-20cm higher up. Everyone who loves snow in the North West regional thread, get waxing that sledge!
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Met still unsure... Outlook for Wednesday to Friday: A frosty start on Wednesday, then largely dry and bright. An uncertain end to the week but probably unsettled and cold with some rain and snow, perhaps disruptive in places. Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Mon 5 Feb 2024
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cheshire snow UK weather: Snow warning for some as mild conditions to end WWW.BBC.CO.UK The Met Office is warning of wintry conditions across much of Wales and England on Thursday.
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A note on the Met Apps for here over the last few days temps wise for Thurs, started off at 11 then 9 then 7 then 5 and now it's 3, very good trend I would say.
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cheshire snow A good assessment mate and something I would agree with.
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frosty ground This time around I do feel the GFS is wrong, the ECM is normally very good in these situations about 3 days out plus the UKMO is more in line with it which adds more confidence. I'm still not convinced yet, if we are seeing similar tomorrow then obviously confidence of a proper snow event increases.
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GFS still very progressive blowing the low up.
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Always happy just to see everything white tbh whatever the depth. I still think we need to wait until tomorrow eve before pinning down the track as I will never ever forget the one a few years back, amber warning vanishing 48 hours before the event that stayed in Wales and only skirted here after looking so good for a few days. We are well overdue a good one.
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A Face like Thunder Yes, I remember that too, I was in 6th form at the time. We ended up with about 6 inches, I believe you had a lot more up there?
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Pleased it's the best model showing the best solution...
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severe snowstorm No time, quick one...
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severe snowstorm Same here, gone from heavy rain to heavy sleet. Another little tweak and this could be brilliant. I'll get some charts up later. severe snowstorm I've found the met apps to be more accurate than most
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cheshire snow Not looking past Thurs, I still think it's not quite settled yet but somewhere is going to get pasted.
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cheshire snow Stalling right there by midday would be sound mate
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cheshire snow Uppers should be ok at -4/-5 but yeah, could do with a further tweak.
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January1940 Good to see you back, was beginning to wonder.
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Another 30-40 hours to go before things firming up.
