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Doctor96

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Everything posted by Doctor96

  1. the gfs from this morning showed most of england under -11 uppers but it is milder than it should be and i have had rain recently. but then the new gfs 6pm comes out and the uppers are now -10 instead of the -11 . how can these things change , it is like the morning prediction was incorrect only a few hrs later.
  2. can you believe these amazing max temperatures , it reminds me of when i was 14 in 1979
  3. I don’t understand the east is under -11 uppers but looking on the radar with temps everywhere is positive temps , mostly 3 c plus . Why is it not colder
  4. Many on here get excited when we have minus 11 uppers and talk of snow . However currently where I live 12 miles inland from coast it is rainy with temp of 1.7 c and the uppers are -11 c . We really need for low ground ( majority ) pretty cold air to get snow . Will the east coast really see snow on the models this week or is the bbc correct sleet
  5. It is poor that the weather forcast is sleet and snow , you woudl think with -10c uppers sleet should be out of the question , but i have seen this before . however if we have -11c uppers as forecast there shoudl be snow on the beaches
  6. Rdt, I too am in YArm , it will be snow if we are at -10 uppers . My worry is will we be sheltered by the mountain range ne t to us and get little ppt. it is too early to use the charts to see how much pot from Sunday onwards , but if max temps are 1 c all week then it will be frozen
  7. phil blake the north sea is mostly 5 and 6 C not 6 and 7 , which is really pretty cold .
  8. BLUE ARMY here in the north east of England i am looking forward to the beast from the east which is just about there with the GFS .
  9. Guys how can we not like this an easterly with snow , surely this is the holy grail , but at the moment for northern half of uk . if you are in the north east this is something special
  10. Watching the gfs this morning , surely this is great for most of the east of the uk , but many on here seem down this morning , don’t get it , unless you live in the west . Also the south east gets hit hard with snow from the front coming up from south east .
  11. Mike honestly widespread 6 C over most of lower part of north sea is usually seen in February and not January , so it is a bit colder , but if we get super cold air in an easterly as may be comming i think we all will be happy . I recall i think 1978 or 79 with a stiff easterly mid february when Newcastle was cut off and i got stuck at school . The army was called out . Will we see that again thi february with the modesl showing great potential
  12. SST North sea i do not post much , but every month in winter I watch the north sea temperatures and tonight there have been quite a few comments on the north sea temperatures. I have no doubt that the SST for north sea at the moment is colder than average . However some of you have shown graphs with anomaly warmer and others colder . you need to see what is the comparison . if the comparison is to 1971-2000 then we are about in line but for the period post 2000 we are colder no doubt. Usually we see temps of around 5 c in march , not in late January for parts of North sea. I reckon with the temps being still low we will see the sst get lower and this will make east cost weather more snowy and less marginal in february.
  13. Massive drop in temperature in Middlesbrough 6 c to 0.7 in a few hrs heavy sleet . Incredible drop
  14. when do UKMo and ECM come out with there next model forecast sorry to ask this question
  15. Blue army let’s hope . Can not believe the change in models this late , can GFS be that wrong
  16. Blue army . that graph shows box and whisker plots , so minus 15c is an outlier , ie a mistake
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