Old MET Man replied to Paul's topic in Model Discussion ArchiveThanks Paul. No , if you trust your reading of the charts, slowly take time and be honest with yourself, you can see what the models indicate across the board. No extreme variants (quite windy up North for 36 hrs). Keeping it simple, high pressure does return quickly with high 850's , therefore not conductive of snow, therefor dry and faux cold weather after boxing day once the winds drop. Up north, Northern England + , high level 300 m, yes snow good probability in late Christmas evening - boxing day period. Scotland no probs. I'm so old , hard to post charts, perhaps younger members can do this for me. I'll try in future, sorry for any offence,
Old MET Man replied to Paul's topic in Model Discussion ArchiveHere is my latest take on things. Windy till Sunday the 25st. Colder weather will follow till new year (surface cold for 5 days, with mild 850's then a northerly wind which I know will bring quite cold uppers and snow showers to the north even low levels. No need to post outputs, its plain to see.