Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Dr. Astro

Members
  • Posts

    375
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Dr. Astro last won the day on December 2 2014

Dr. Astro had the most liked content!

Recent Profile Visitors

5,660 profile views

Dr. Astro's Achievements

Enthusiast

Enthusiast (6/14)

  • Reacting Well
  • 100 reactions given
  • Very Popular
  • First Post
  • Collaborator

Recent Badges

645

Reputation

  1. Snowing in Manchester, just started. Bodes well for the rest of the night
  2. Nothing worse than that Liam... Looking at the radar it does seem a few more heavier bursts are coming through rather than the light precipitation.
  3. Looking at the latest models, I would say places from Warrington to Manchester could do surprisingly well out of this sliding system. It's still early so don't be disheartened at the moment, were only at 1PM. Temperatures will begin to fall again soon enough, although a little rise is expected around this time. It's going to be more of a now cast, rather than a forecast, as some places 5 miles down the road will be getting snow, and the other side will be rain/sleet until later on in the night. I would expect the Peaks to do well, aroundMacclesfield Forest / Teggs Nose way.
  4. Latest... HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016 500 PM AST THU JAN 14 2016 Alex has been maintaining a fairly impressive appearance on satellite imagery, with a well-defined 15-20 n mi diameter eye embedded within cold cloud tops. Recent images do suggest some warming/erosion of the tops over the southwest quadrant. Dvorak T-numbers remain near 4.5 so the current intensity is held at 75 kt. Sea surface temperatures are now below 20 deg C and should continue to cool along the path of Alex. This, along with a little increase in southwesterly shear, should result in gradual weakening. However, Alex is expected to maintain hurricane strength while passing near or over the Azores. In 24 hours or so, the global models show a distinct warm front over the northeast portion of the circulation. This suggests extratropical transition, and the official forecast reflects this. Later in the forecast period, the global models show the system merging with another extratropical cyclone over the northern Atlantic. The initial motion is slightly east of due northward or 015/19. There is essentially no change to the track forecast reasoning. Alex continues to be steered by the flow of a shortwave mid-tropospheric trough that has been rotating around a broader trough to its northwest. This evolution should cause the cyclone to turn gradually to the left with increasing forward speed over the next couple of days. The dynamical track guidance models are in excellent agreement for the first 36 hours of the forecast, and the official forecast is near the consensus of these models. This is basically an update of the previous NHC track prediction. Alex's wind field is likely to expand as it nears and makes the extratropical transition. The wind radii forecasts are based primarily on guidance from the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center.
  5. None of what you posted was "Mild Dross", it's all cold. Plenty of potential with that cut off GH.
  6. Have to laugh at some of the comments regarding the GFS not being a good run. Its classic, maybe it's the people who live south of the Midlands? Battleground Galore. Atlantic failure. UKMO = Stellar. You spoilt lot!
  7. Well, there we have it all. Ignore the models... We just require a trained eye as ours seem to be lacking in that department !
  8. Chris K, thanks for the answer above, this link will also help your studies http://scienceline.ucsb.edu/getkey.php?key=1962 Chiono, good image. Looks like Europe is going to get a cool down, not sure why some are down beat if it's cold you are after, as it isn't very far away.
  9. You can read more here: http://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/modelling-and-prediction/quantifying-forecast-uncertainty
  10. GEM, is a Gem tonight for festive weather lovers.... I think it's worth keeping an eye on the Siberian High...
  11. Snowing quite heavy now. Starting to stick. 2010 ? Haha, we wish !
  12. Ah ! Thats good to know, it's all working perfect again anyways, cheers Paul :-)
×
×
  • Create New...