julo764

Here are the differences between regular El Niño and El Niño Modoki

A strong El Niño if he isn't Modoki doesn't seem good for a cool winter. About the SST in N Atlantic i don't think that's have big impact for winter a=NAO- b=NAO+ American east coast needs to be in negative anomaly.

If we have an El Niño Modoki, the posibility of a cool winter rise, currently nothing is played, with a positive QBO since last August, and low solar activity or in any case that declining. Prediction is difficult, the models predict a mild winter but on the other hand indices going to make a winter as two parts to me. November & December may be mild months, January and February might be colder.

High time to choose now for winter tyres. It should be mandatory in French mountains.

Riccardo and his team aren't excepted to work with Judah Cohen this past year ? I read it on his blog few days ago. Sorry for my bad English.