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JeffC

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Posts posted by JeffC

  1. 14 hours ago, JeffC said:

    Has anyone looked at this lately?

    https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=12.79,89.77,271/loc=132.047,81.090

    There's a VERY clear warm sector at 10 hpa which has been growing over the last week or so. Must put significant pressure on the SPV?

    bit warmer still as high as -8C  in that warm sector but -30 to -45C outside it
    image.thumb.png.eb3ac8e802b1e6bc939ddb35e73f341f.png

    • Like 1
  2. 4 hours ago, johncam said:

    Hope your right , but for me the optimum time for Snow is mid December to Mid Jan , low sun long nights , different times now so need to be really cold for snow to lie, can't quickly turn into a slushfest. Fingers crossed.

    March 2013 was amazing for continuous cold, 21-22nd my area had 24" of level snow, then the wind got up, creating considerable drifts. It stayed very cold throughout.  April 1st was even an ice day....

    That was a result of a January SSW if I recall correctly.

    • Like 5
  3. On 05/12/2023 at 22:44, Roger J Smith said:

     

    Autumn 2023 EWP _ Scoring for all entrants (2/3 or 3/3 contests)

     

    _01 ___ J 10 ____________________ 25.45

    _02 ___ Weather Observer _____24.24

    _03 ___ February1978 __________23.70 

    _04 ___ Jeff C ___________________23.27 

    _05 ___ summer blizzard ______ 22.64 

    _06 ___ virtualsphere __________ 22.61

    _07 ___ Summer Shower_______ 22.20

    _08 ___ rwtwm _________________ 22.01

    _09 ___ bobd29 _________________21.74

    _10 ___ Godber 1 ______________ 21.14

    _11 ___ summer18 _____________ 19.90

    _(12) __ average 1991-2020 ___ 19.84

    _12 ___ Emmett Garland _______ 19.82

    _13 ___ DR(S)NO _______________ 19.42

    _14 ___ Moorlander ___________ 18.83

    _15 ___ Mr Maunder ___________ 18.63 

    _16___ Reef ____________________18.46

    _(16) __ Consensus _____________18.44

    _17 ___ Earthshine _____________17.68

    _18 ___ Midlands Ice Age ______ 17.65

    _19 ___ snowray _______________ 17.45

    _20 ___ Roger J Smith __________17.11  

    _21 ___ seaside60 ______________17.04 

    _22 ___ davehsug ______________16.59

    _23 ___ Leo97t _________________16.56

    _24 ___ Alexis J 9 _______________16.40 (2/3)

    _25 ___ stewfox ________________ 16.14 (2/3)

    _26 ___ chilly milly ______________15.48

    _27 ___ mazelike _______________ 15.45

    _28 ___ Frigid ___________________15.03

    _29 ___ Metwatch ______________ 14.86

    _30 ___prolongedSnowLover __ 14.53 

    _31 ___ summer8906 __________ 14.18

    _32 ___ Stationary Front _______ 14.02

    _33 ___ SteveB _________________ 13.02

    _34 ___ I Remember Atl252 ____ 12.72

    _35 ___ jonboy _________________ 12.69

    _36 ___ The PIT _________________12.53

    _37 ___ Methuselah ____________ 12.20

    _38 ___ Polar Gael ______________12.16 

    _39 ___ catbrainz ______________ 11.76

    _40 ___ dancerwithwings ______ 11.19 

    _41 ___ Wold Topper ___________11.18

    _42 ___ Somerset girl __________ 10.99

    _43 ___ B87 ____________________10.50

    _44 ___ Weather26 _____________10.00 

    _45 ___ Mulzy ___________________ 9.93 

    _46 ___ Neil N __________________ 9.54

    _47 ___ noname_weather_______ 9.48 (2/3) 

    _48 ___ shillitocettwo ___________ 8.87

    _49 ___ Feb1991Blizzard ________ 8.30

    _50 ___ daniel* __________________7.98

    _51 ___ WYorksWeather _________7.28 (2/3)

    _52 ___ syed2878 _______________ 6.69

    _53 ___ Don _____________________6.31

    _54 ___ sunny_vale _____________ 4.54 (2/3)

    _55 ___ AddicksFan1981 ________4.18 (2/3)

     

    Happy with 4th!!

  4. There are also some good traction aids that can really help, look up Autosocks..

    Below is what I posted on a local Facebook page. Note had I not been away for the weekend I would have been assisting with coordinating the rescue efforts on Saturday and Sunday...My son was out there helping.

    Hi All
    I missed all the fun of the weekend as I was away, but seeing all the posts made me think that maybe I could pass on some useful advice for those who maybe had a bit of a scary experience driving in the snow. I’ve driven a long way over the years, quite a bit of it in poor weather – snow, fog, heavy rain etc., and have learned quite a few things that might help.
    1. Tyres – I’m lucky, my company pays to swap my “summer” standard tyres for full cold weather tyres, but for most that’s a bit of a faff, so when you change your tyres next time, look at “all weather” or “all season” these will work well in winter and summer and give a good compromise on both. That’s what many Police forces run, including I believe Cumbria. I don’t want to get too deep into the science, but “standard” tyres are 10% less efficient at 7 degrees C than above it and get progressively worse as the temperature drops. All Season tyres are good in the cold and the wet, which we get far more of than we do road temperatures of above 50C! 
    2. If you can’t get all weather tyres for whatever reason, try Autosocks, amazing difference to traction for moving, steering and stopping, dead easy to fit, and will get you home or to a place of safety, available here https://www.roofbox.co.uk/car-snow-socks/watch the video – they really could be a life saver! Dead easy to fit and completely re-usable.
    3. Carry a folding shovel – again a Godsend at the right time! also available here https://www.roofbox.co.uk/scripts/rbvehsel4_tab.php/car-specific-accessories/billat_telescopic_snow_shovel_with_icebreaker_blade_gd067/Qx%40w%2C6M42VAwp3%40Rb{~cC4urewtA3c(no I’m not on commission!)
    4. Decent screenwash – try to get something rated down to -10C or even -20C there’s nothing quite like being able to see where you’re going and it’s awful when you press your
    5. Rain-X or similar rain repellent – put it on side and rear windows and door mirrors (I don’t like the micro-dots it creates on windscreens, especially at night). Dead easy to use, just follow instructions, and it will help massively with visibility, dirt literally wipes off with a sponge and a quick rinse and frost just scrapes off very easily.
    6. Remember a decent warm coat, hat & gloves and have a head torch in the glove box, just something to light your way, maybe summon help and allow you to be seen. You could use it on a trudge to safety if you didn’t buy the autosocks! Plus snacks and drink – maybe put a couple of bottles of water in the car with a few snacks nothing worse than being hungry when you’re stuck!
     
    Happy to point people in the right direction if anyone has any questions.
     

     

    • Like 1
  5. 10 hours ago, Moomin71 said:

    Don't be so sure Beanz, I will have swapped my Defender for a Tesla (not my choice work told me to!) by mid September.  Last time I didn't have a Defender/Utility Land Rover was between 2009 and 2011...... Not chart analysis or statistics but just saying 🙂

    Get full winter or all weather tyres on it, should help a lot!

  6. On 13/05/2023 at 21:07, CreweCold said:

    Interesting the CFS is predicting a strong Nino but also projects a very robust cold winter precursor pattern for November, the chart is VERY 2009

    Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram

     

    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/glbz700MonInd6.gif

    It’s of interest because it’ll be incorporating the forecast strong Nino when producing the above anomaly chart.

    So long as we don't have the same Floods in November!

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