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mickeyb44

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Everything posted by mickeyb44

  1. mickeyb44
    I will make do with 50-60, no downgrades please and a 30 mph upgrade would be fab but 99.9 % unlikely
  2. mickeyb44
    I agree totally, re the met warnings over the years have been great. Nice to see the warnings out today, thats a lot of rain for the western part of the area !
  3. mickeyb44
    Also, whilst we are on the subject, I wonder if the met have to consult various government depts before issuing a red, sadly the very first thing that the government will worry about is 'how much will the storm cost'.
  4. mickeyb44
    Those in the far north and western isles must be looking at this thread and thinking ' what on earth is all the fuss about' !
  5. mickeyb44
    It must be that the meto think 'well their well used to it there so no red required' either that or they have a different scale of red warning for those areas, or just calculated on population and how important the local infrastructure is to the economy ??
  6. mickeyb44
    Adam, the stormchaser in me wants 'severe anything' lol I am somewhat obsessed by it all but, injury or deaths is not what anyone wants. I would happily take a good lightning storm with stunning cloud formation over anything else though.
  7. mickeyb44
    Yes in met terms, beaufort etc your right its storm force 10, but i always compare storms to those up north and western isles - thats my gauge. If we get 90+ forecast then i will be saying OMG a lot, lol.
  8. mickeyb44
    60-70 mph just about qualifies for the word 'storm' in my book, from imby point of view i would like upgrades but thats not likely. Ive watched every gfs run on this since it started showing and next time I will not get too excited until the official warnings come out.
  9. mickeyb44
    I go fishing in Ongar, lovely place. Sounds like your fence may not be feeling too good after the storm, eek 60 mph gusts now showing for our areas.
  10. mickeyb44
    Yes its still looking stormy, especially as im now looking at wind maps for the correct time period !! Sorry for that.
  11. mickeyb44
    Woops, sorry guys - my bad, was looking at tuesday - wednesday. Im so used to seeing downgrades I just did a few clicks then closed the browser window with a big sigh. Hastings - 72mph at midnight (on meto wind map), now that almost qualifies as worthy to me
  12. mickeyb44
    Hi Jules, im going by the latest meto wind map, nothing much above 30 mph Could be out of date and change a lot next update but ive seen this happen all too many times now.
  13. mickeyb44
    Met office wind map now showing maxes of just 30 mph south east, as I expected. Now where has that interesting little feature for saturday gone....
  14. mickeyb44
    Well im still finding this interesting, especially that gfsp chart showing the storm center several hundred miles away (500 ?) from other models.
  15. mickeyb44
    Just my opinion, those 60 mph inland gusts for the south east - whats the betting they end up 30 mph ! Still, it looks like the more usual locations could get some very strong gusts worthy of at least a yellow warning soon.
  16. mickeyb44
    Thanks, nice to hear of poss 58 mph gusts. I was hoping for a severe storm but I suppose its good news for less damage and disruption
  17. mickeyb44
    With regards to the above post, oh well there goes my severe wind gusts up noorf. If the ukmo follows suit tomorrow i will give up all hope on seeing a proper storm next week.
  18. mickeyb44
    And that is what I personally think is likely, with just a breezy spell down south.
  19. mickeyb44
    If wednesdays storm fizzles out into just 30-40 mph gusts in my area I will not be happy at all. All eyes on the met for the first yellow and see which areas are covered.
  20. mickeyb44
    12z now showing the strongest winds in different areas again, it will probably keep changing over the next few days. Someone has mentioned they have a met office friend who says it will be much further north and less severe, im not going to argue with the words of a met forecaster but, really hope they are wrong. Thanks Chrisbell for that in depth explanation, i will need to read it several times to try and understand it all though
  21. mickeyb44
    I think it means the air at 1.5 km above us is now getting a lot colder. Dew point has always confused me, i think its the temperature at which moisture turns to liquid. Both of these and other elements are important for the risk of snow, they have to be at the right levels before it can snow. I may be completely wrong though
  22. mickeyb44
    Is that showing an 11 degree drop in the upper air ? I still dont understand charts much.
  23. mickeyb44
    Thanks for that, i did use that during the recent storm in scotland but it didnt seem very accurate, are those graphics based on ukmo with human input ?
  24. mickeyb44
    Can someone tell me, where can I view ukmo wind gust speed ? Or is that not available to the public ?
  25. mickeyb44
    Blimey, some of these charts really are starting to look very nasty indeed. Question is, is this storm now well enough inside the reliable timeframe or not quite yet, as in possible huge downgrades ?
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