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Everything posted by h2005__uk__

  1. Maximums in Paris this week (depending on the station): Mon: 30-32C Tue: 23-25C Wed: 26-27C Thu: 31-33C Fri: 37-39C Stations further north in France were a couple of degrees cooler. As you say, very surprising we got to the high 30s when northern France hadn't been over 33C during the week.
  2. Chelmsford (Writtle) and Andrewsfield reached 35.1C and 32.4C respectively today, meaning mid-Essex has now reached 30C after failing to do so during the heat at the end of June. The last year where 30C wasn't reached at either of these stations was 2009. My own personal station just north of Chelmsford recorded 32.6C.
  3. I'm still struggling to see why the peak of the heat isn't reaching further east (i.e. Essex/Suffolk). The setup looks similar to the heat on a few occasions in Summer 2019 - i.e. SE winds and the peak around 30-32C - and Essex tapped into this. Is there a reason why the heat (according to the models) seems to not be making its way as far as Essex this time? The issue at the end of June seemed to be easterly winds but most models now seem to be showing a SE wind for Friday but highs of 'only' 26-27C in Essex.
  4. Sorry if this has been asked before, but where can I access the raw ECM max temps? Had a look but can't seem to find them... thanks.
  5. Interesting chart, thanks. MetO seems to be at odds with this then, because it's showing easterly winds for Kent (as mentioned above) and also for my location in Essex.
  6. What's causing the easterly winds in the east during this plume? The same happened at the end of June. Normally they're southerly.
  7. Essex unusually missed out on the peak of the heat in late June due to a E/SE wind. The forecast for the heat next weekend again has a SE wind for Essex. Will this restrict the temps again?
  8. That's an interesting way of looking at it. For comparison, this July's average max has been about 4C warmer than April here in Essex. The gap should be about 9C based on long-term averages. Last year the gap between Apr and Jul was 10C; in 2018 it was 13C.
  9. I agree - I thought earlier on it felt September-ish. It was sunny and around 20C so very pleasant, but the poor-ish weather lately makes it feel like the end of the summer's here now after the sunny spring and hot weather at the end of June. It doesn't feel like late July when the average here should easily hit 23C.
  10. So far this month the average max I've recorded is 19.7C, markedly below the overall July average of 22.9C for here. I've not recorded anything above 21.3C for 14 days in a row. I checked my records (starting Sept 2013) for summer spells of maximums below 21.5C in summer months, lasting 10 days or more. There've been 6: Aug 2014 - 14 days in a row Aug 2015 - 10 days Jul 2017 - 10 days Jun 2019 - 14 days Jun 2020 - 10 days Jul 2020 - 14 days so far Given the forecast for tomorrow is 20C, I expect this month will deliver the longest spell of <21.5C temperatures I've recorded - and the first summer to have two such spells of coolness!
  11. Agreed! I have a portable air con unit in mine which is usually set to 18/19C and it does the trick. Anything above that and it's too warm for me to sleep even with just a thin sheet over me.
  12. It definitely suppressed temperatures even in inland Essex at the end of June during that hot spell.
  13. An easterly wind is showing up though which could suppress temperatures, if that forecast is right.
  14. This evening (here in Chelmsford, Essex) really felt like the end to a miserable autumn day - fairly dull, cold (13C) and drizzling. It's a shame because it was very sunny this morning. It wasn't too bad a few days ago when it was fairly humid and sunny with temperatures just below 20C - it felt pleasant because of the sun, plus the wind took the edge off the humidity (although it got a bit too blowy at times).
  15. How can the MetO say over the last few days that, for the end of July, "temperatures are expected to be above average overall"... then today, for the same period, say "temperatures generally around average or slightly below". ? What's the point of their extended outlook? Is it ever right?
  16. What caused the first two days of this 'heatwave' to have an easterly wind? Isn't it more usual to get a S/SW wind when heat comes from the continent?
  17. Looks like the max today was at Heathrow... but with 33.4C!
  18. The highest in the East was Lakenheath which squeezed exactly 30.0C out of the heat. Most others didn't get above 29C. Looks hopeful for tomorrow due to the wind being more southerly, as mentioned above, but it depends on cloud cover due to storms bubbling up.
  19. Essex, Norfolk and Suffolk are again struggling to reach 30C and I doubt they will, looking at the 1pm/2pm temps. Cavendish (Suffolk) and Writtle (Essex) are often among the hottest places. Why have they missed out on the peak of the heat this week? Is it because the winds have been E/SE rather than S/SW?
  20. I think the same every year. I picked up one 2nd hand for £60 and got another one, new, for £220. They work well, particularly in smaller rooms, and I got a south-facing room down from 30C to 18C by last night. They don't get huge amounts of use in British summers so should last many years. Even if you spent £300 on one and it lasted ten years (my 2nd hand one's 21 years old!), that's £30 per summer + cost of running at about 50p for 6-8 hours. If you can't afford it then it's well worth saving up until you can in my view. The resulting rise in humidity is the problem with air coolers, as they work less well once it gets more humid as they're used, plus the UK is a fairly humid place to start with. For price vs. effectiveness, I think portable air-con is better value.
  21. Is it likely East Anglia will be a bit hotter tomorrow, given 30C doesn't seem to have been reached? The weather apps, websites and models still seem unsure which day between now and Friday will be the hottest for the eastern counties.
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