Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

ALL ABOARD

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    537

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ALL ABOARD

  1. ALL ABOARD
    She's starting to struggle
  2. ALL ABOARD
    Back for another year. Seperation of lows on ECM. Huge difference in 12 hours, regardless of what happens in the rest of the run.
  3. ALL ABOARD
    Had the same issue in South Wales last week. Snowed all day but nothing settled. Fingers crossed for you..
  4. ALL ABOARD
    Unreal cold
  5. ALL ABOARD
    I see your 1055hpa and raise you 5hpa. 1060hpa over scandi. It only gets colder from here, welcome to the ice club.
  6. ALL ABOARD
    Locked in. No way the Atlantic lows barrel in now.
  7. ALL ABOARD
    Icon at 120 is fantastic. Scandi surface high forming as the cold becomes entrenched. Bitterly cold with snow showers packing into the east, frontal systems diving and the possibility of significant snow as they nudge in. No wonder why the met aren't sure wether the even colder air will make its way towards us.
  8. ALL ABOARD
    Marco stating on twitter we might yet tap into the coldest air...
  9. ALL ABOARD
    Control much better for longevity.. Heights remain high to our north and force the jet stream south. Increasingly cold dense air becomes stubborn to shift and frontal systems slide as they engage it.
  10. ALL ABOARD
    I wouldn't really worry about the GFS at 168... GFS and GEFS were nearly all wrong regarding a low at much shorter timescales. 00z has a stronger high pressure developing over scandi that keeps any Atlantic fronts on southerly trajectories. 06z not so much, but less data may prove to be its downfall on a situation like this.
  11. ALL ABOARD
    Icon at 120 is stunning. Perfect positioning of the low across the East, Midlands and frontal systems making slow inroads from the Atlantic for us out west. Win win...
  12. ALL ABOARD
    Choo choo... Wow
  13. ALL ABOARD
    If the GFS verified as shown.. Parts of South england would get more than that in my opinion. There is no way models would be able to pick up the huge snow showers that would be generated. Usually as they move in land as well they tend to merge and create frontal bands, the instability would cause thundersnow as well. All hypothetical but would be some serious conditions conductive to huge snowfalls.
  14. ALL ABOARD
    In normal times I'd tend to agree with you.. Models and means will always resort to some kind of climatic norm at that range. This time we have had multiple SSW, MJO into high amplitude and I'm still convinced lack of flight data is playing a massive part.
  15. ALL ABOARD
    ECM struggling in the 4-5 day range.. No point worrying in the 11-15 days...
  16. ALL ABOARD
    I didn't think so much of it at first but surely the issue of flight data is playing a massive part. I know it's difficult to forecast snow but the met have been way off on timings, amounts, how far north how far south... New warnings gone out for Wales today as its already snowing heavily, same for the updates ones for Tuesday. Maybe the models are struggling majorly because of the lack of flights?
  17. ALL ABOARD
    I seriously think the lack of flight data is having a massive issue... Met have never been this inaccurate about snow in a winter that I can remember.
  18. ALL ABOARD
    Heavy now beginning to stick.. Grass, cars so on...
  19. ALL ABOARD
    Met warning for snow just gone out... Moderate here but ground temps to high.. Nothing sticking at the moment.
  20. ALL ABOARD
    Mean at 120 Cleared the low lovely.. Control also similar.
  21. ALL ABOARD
    Poor. Compared to recent runs. It dosent look right tho.. The whole pattern across the northern hemipshere moves east aprt from that low.
  22. ALL ABOARD
    Yes. With such an unstable flow though I'd expect troughs rather than showers...
  23. ALL ABOARD
    Also the run isn't finished.. Renewed amplification into Greenland, low pressure dropping from the North. Extension of cold locked in.
  24. ALL ABOARD
    Even with the surface low looks like it could make it. New area of heights pushing towards Greenland out of newfoundland.
  25. ALL ABOARD
    You can see how hard Europe wants us back.. Its changed the weather to make an ice bridge
×
×
  • Create New...