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Everything posted by danthetan

  1. was just looking at that, wonder what the dew points would be in that setup?
  2. Yes my prediction is around 10th September looking at current weather predictions with the light fading fast and generally 2MT staying below freezing above 80N and conditions leaning towards freeze thaw. Yeah totally agree the Arctic ice free brigade do reside on there but its good for data. I think the lack of sea ice on our side of the globe means Northerly's often don't pack a punch, so more ice the better for us.
  3. Artic sea ice seems to be doing a bit better than previous years. What are your thoughts MIA? Early and quick re-freeze would be good. Linked a good forum for artic sea ice. Arctic Sea Ice : Forum FORUM.ARCTIC-SEA-ICE.NET The global forum to discuss arctic sea ice and global warming
  4. That is simply a variation on the theme, that low pressure will cross the country, possible few days high pressure before it does.
  5. Just had a snow shower come through really dry and left a dusting. More shower's look to be gathering in the Irish sea
  6. On the road between dollgellau and bala this morning all mountains white to. Snapchat-77604681.mp4
  7. I would agree, still the fax charts show a conversion line. dangler in full swing.
  8. Soft hail I would imagine, accumating where the conversion line sets up. Anythings possible
  9. Latest fax charts have the dangler setting up for a few days.
  10. Even with the slight shift east, the latest fax has the pembs dangler setting up camp for a few days. Will interesting to see what falls if it gets going.
  11. Looking very likely I would say winds NNE N or NNW wet bulb 0c 850hpa temps -9 freezing level 0-100m 520 thicknesses cold and unstable could be a right dumping where the line of showers set up.
  12. Just out Interest how accurate are these charts they seem so different form the NOOA charts?
  13. Anyway...... sorry to Interrupt the winter funeral on the 20th of february. Yes we are going through a mild phase which to be fair is expected as we've been very fortunate this winter. My thoughts are we will see a few more days of above average temperatures as the High pressure builds from the south later next week it will cut off the supply of warm air and as the days are getting longer so we will continue to see temperatures into double digits but also falling at night to low singe figures. After that a trough dropping into Scandinavia coinciding with vortex in canada on the move which could allow high pressure to pull west and give a northerly.
  14. Not much to get excited about Im afraid if its of the cold bias. The general direction seems to be high pressure building over or near to UK thereafter a trough dropping into Scandinavia more favourably ECM allowing a colder northerly flow nothing notable more likely to be a toppler.
  15. No it will get pulled back to the low exiting newfoundland, with the trough dropping into Scandinavia could allow a gap for high pressure to rise towards Greenland. All way to far out to have any confidence.
  16. For those further east it started off as tiny flakes and ice pellets for at least an hour it wasn't until the temperature starting rising it turned to flakes.
  17. Light to moderate snow here settling easily very dry snow
  18. Think the warning only starts at 9pm because the first front was meant to fizzle out. The second one for 6am tomorrow looks like its made further inroads.
  19. 850hpa temperatures might be near 0c but look at the 2m temps feeding off the continent wow thats at 13.00
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