lupe

Just back from lecht ski center which has snow but are prepared for the rough weather coming in the coming days. wind speed was high and coupled with plenty of white stuff it was baltic...Snow in inverness early this morning. Think I have been away a little to long for this forum. You know when you walk into a room and everyone go's silent......... Anyway, GFS model's look scary for next few days so It's going to be eventful. Will keep an eye out on here for any updates.. Stay safe

Hi all, Been away in South Africa all of last year, seen weird weird weather....like hail stones that will put you to sleep!! I so missed Sco and now work all over the highlands. applecross was crazy with snow and over to lecht ski center which has had a lot of the white stuff....heaving with tourists. All snow receeding now though so here is hoping for the weekend. Good to be back in the fresh air and hope to post again soon. T

Hey guys, -4 here last night and that was a reading from two stations. (cheapish ones lol). Everything is frozen solid, skies were stunning during the night absolutely gin clear. we have had loads of flooding with we bothies and salmon houses that have stood for years now 1/3 submerged in water. The firth birst its banks up over fields then along the roads and right to the doorstep of a local shop which was around 300 meters away from where the tide usually stop's. Wind has recently changed direction and cloud's are rolling in, still at -1.3 though.. It's like im waiting for a dove to bring me a twig back so i can release the animal's.............two by two, Have had a few day's away ( wife's no well ) but i have been watching the report's on down south and my heart really does go out..

Was just me being a numpty,,,it is the same only i could have sworn it didnt look as bad as that when i looked. user error doh! its going to be all some folk need on already saturated ground ... its been one after another after another... this one looks quite aggressive though for winds?

Im still trying to find the chart lorenzo put up for the 6th, i can only see the one that greets you when you go to the gfs website which says something completely different for the 6th... thats why when loz posted that model up i was suprised as what im looking at is nothing like that....and er well i will give lorenzo the benefit of the doubt on his post being more reliable than mine lol

Awww I thought it was pushing a low along for 4th-6th for us....will keep trying to be clever

Just read this from weather center "Here is the 12z ECMWF 500mb vorticity forecast for January 4th, where we see two pieces of energy impacting different portions of the nation. There is energy coming down from Southwestern Canada, as well as a storm system over southern Texas and into northern Mexico. It seems to be that these two pieces of energy would be involved in this potential winter storm. If you have been watching the models, you will recall that the ECMWF showed a triple phase (three pieces of energy phasing/merging) that then created a monster storm system. - See more at: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/january-2-6-potentially-significant_27.html#sthash.1Eyr0jnN.dpuf" Think thats the projection for uk

When you say nutter idea's is that because this has only just come about on the models?? I cant find that storm on the gfs at all..infact for the 6th it just kinda looks normal? its like well, there is a significant storm coming on one model and nothing on another lol

I clocked - 3 last night, took the pooch out and it was baltic. roads were like glass along with pavements to...it felt extremely cold because of the damp in the air..the sky was pretty stunning though the space station was really clear..but yeh real frosty. and then gone pretty quick to.

Is this for real?! At first i thought it was a past storm until i clocked the date!

Thats cool alright, Today i was costing up the weather balloon with gps and camera etc to try get some real nice pic's up in the stratosphere...gets to 90-125,000ft...problem is where it lands as its quite common up here to lose signal very easy so finding the payload could be difficult, working on it though.. Lorenzo i appreciate the post and will be putting my head in the learners section, Enjoy the crack here! It would be easy to carry on posting stats of the week or of the day but i want my teeth into forecasting..the GFS was what i used before i came on here, i only really understood pressure and isobars really on it...nice to know i was looking at a model you guys use though...

Storm on jupiter bus?

Why does the darn dog always need walk when i spend a mo on here........on the lookout for a treadmill, pm with details!!! speak lata folks

Thankyou very very much to both of you

Ensembles?? ie statistics?