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DAVID SNOW

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Everything posted by DAVID SNOW

  1. And anyway, cutting through all the nonsense the ECM this evening shows low after after low impacting on the UK right out to day 10, very poor for our limited 'high summer' window. 10 days is a stretch with any model, so looking past that to maybe 14 days, and your back in the extended guessing game again....
  2. Right or wrong i comment if the CET is too high OR too low, obviously not as you implied........... Thanks.
  3. Well you've got that totally wrong, i posted last month that the running CET seemed stuck for several days and was running too LOW and should have increased twice. Obviously you'll want to have a look for yourself in the June CET thread, and get back to me. Thanks.
  4. You'll be back very soon Mike posting about the models , if not tomorrow, then the next day.
  5. Optimism and potential, the two words that fit in nicely when looking at the models in there extended range (max 14 days) and that stands no matter the season. Anything after that, is pure guess work, and well before on many occasions, and at this time of year throw a 'random' hurricane into the North Atlantic , and this will mess up and over ride the back ground 'signals' and all that tele stuff. Too many variables at play at any one time, yes it's fun to guess the longer outlook, but guessing is all it is.
  6. And at months end a 0.5C downward correction. If not, then this justifies my not bothering with Hadley CET anymore, their daily figures are all over the place, and have been wrong now for many months. In fact, i don't trust their data at all!
  7. Yeah, it's the same with using Teleconnections to try and see where things may be heading, problem with that methodology is that there are too many variables, and how they interact, so a lot of guess work needed there. Just look at what the models (all) are showing in the near time period, and try to, if one is so inclined, guess their conclusion.
  8. Clearly, and XCWeather.co.uk don't show the temps from there anymore.
  9. Get what you mean about change, hot weather now, like today, doesn't really bother me like it used to, funny though, cold weather has gone in the opposite direction.
  10. But the weather looks great in the MOD thread, it always does...
  11. I know.... done some work in confined spaces, same rules apply. And can get rather hot too.
  12. Yep, can confirm potent little storm, large hail, frequent lightning and cloud rotation.
  13. Hoping for a good summer, if you live further south, same old every year, its all just for likes.
  14. Is there any chance the Model output discussion thread can be what it is supposed to be, and not be filled up with off topic nonsense?
  15. I'll be sitting on a cloud by then, cumulus preferably. Don't think any official stations got to 29C today, someone will come along with an exact maximum i'm sure.
  16. Yep, same here to the east of London, very warm, but still a few degrees short of what i'd describe as hot. After dark Wednesday, into the small hours would be great.
  17. Safe for another year, it goes on...
  18. Interesting it is, next week looking very good with the warmth hanging on and the models toying with some storms too, perhaps only for the South East mind. Long way out of course, but i'm optimistic.
  19. Not to me, it should have gone up twice, but instead sticks with 16.1. It has done this before.
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