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DAVID SNOW

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Everything posted by DAVID SNOW

  1. When are the very warm temperatures going to arrive then, cutting it very fine to happen last 3rd August now... Silly of me to believe the Daily Express.....
  2. Must have been a family decision........and without doubt, a unanimous one.
  3. Is it actually allowed to confirm that summer ends this month. With that being only 2 weeks away, is it okay for some to say that, to them it never got started and the continuous jam tomorrow charts posted at day 10 will soon be showing in September....And that is Autumn! Expect to see some magical movements of goal posts soon, with September to become the late August...
  4. Good call from MH, he obviously has a good understanding of the teleconnections , better than keep updating with jam tomorrow forecasts.
  5. Any chance of a new thread in the morning? This one has become almost unreadable, to the point that anyone looking in would be met by an avalanche of off topic posts and theatrics.
  6. That's hot! But i think the WMO will debunk it. Well, maybe..
  7. unintended positive consequence of the leave vote.
  8. Another huge day here in the SE, it hasn't rained for two days now!
  9. August can be a bit of a let down for sure, but.. take heart, someone in the MOD thread has forecast the last 10 days of the month to be very warm for NW Europe. Can't go wrong with that, considering the area in question covers about 500 thousand square miles.....
  10. Yes, mostly sunny and pleasantly warm. Wouldn't mind a bit of heat though, before summer is done.?️
  11. A short lived thundery plume has been played about with from all models, for some time now and would be welcomed by me, to add NO model shows any chance of extreme heat from Spain heading our way, that will all slip away to our south and east.
  12. I make the provisional CET to be 15.6, so a bit below Hadley.
  13. lots to be decided , but thankfully, the i told you so and crystal ball back slapping has gone now. Nice August weather for the South next week.
  14. Last 100 years for the UK? I'd say pretty mixed, no doubt not helped by the massive population explosion, with over time, villages becoming towns, and towns becoming cities, and the cities themselves ever expanding into the country side . All that 'new' concrete, steel and tarmac and people wonder why it's getting warmer here, and flooding is the like never seen before.............
  15. Interesting times, makes current UK extremes look fairly tame.
  16. 'Forecasters' in the MOD thread saying things should improve for the South/South East, no good for you or them, but i suppose it gains 'likes' and increases reputation.
  17. Long way out to the 10 day range, but it's safe to say GFS and ECM do not agree at all, chalk 'n cheese really, GEM more like ECM. Bit too early for the i told you so and back slapping.
  18. Yes it is a 0.2 adjustment due to urban heating, and not 0.3, that was incorrectly posted................ And thanks yes , no need at all for accusations to be thrown around, even more so when they turn out to be totally wrong . To be clear, i posted last week that there would have to be a huge downward correction, of 0.5 or more, to justify my concerns with the provisional figures ......
  19. Good for you. As i have already proven, your implication regarding my reasoning was incorrect, move on now. Thanks.
  20. Not here to issue forecasts, just comment on what the models show, if members wish to post about their abundant knowledge of rising AAM , and then guess what that may bring in the future is fine by me, just remember there are many other 'signals', drivers at play all at the same time, so again guessing is fine, and fun too. No need to take it so personally, it's just the usual unpredictability for the UK , with our geographical location. not easy, and requires guessing for things to fall 'right'
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